Rocket Lab Usa Stock Technical Analysis
| RKLB Stock | USD 67.44 1.43 2.17% |
As of the 17th of February 2026, Rocket Lab holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0852, semi deviation of 4.98, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1054.11. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Rocket Lab, as well as the relationship between them.
Rocket Lab Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Rocket, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to RocketRocket Lab's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Rocket Lab Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 83.96 | Strong Buy | 15 | Odds |
Most Rocket analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Rocket stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Rocket Lab USA, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Rocket conference calls.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rocket Lab. Anticipated expansion of Rocket directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Rocket Lab assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.48 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Rocket Lab USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rocket that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rocket Lab's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rocket Lab's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rocket Lab's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rocket Lab's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Rocket Lab's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rocket Lab should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Rocket Lab's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Rocket Lab 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Rocket Lab's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Rocket Lab.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Rocket Lab on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Rocket Lab USA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Rocket Lab over 90 days. Rocket Lab is related to or competes with Heico, United Airlines, Westinghouse Air, Verisk Analytics, Otis Worldwide, Xylem, and Elbit Systems. Rocket Lab USA, Inc., a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions for the space and defense in... More
Rocket Lab Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Rocket Lab's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Rocket Lab USA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 5.59 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0834 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.4 |
Rocket Lab Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rocket Lab's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Rocket Lab's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Rocket Lab historical prices to predict the future Rocket Lab's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0852 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3965 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1155 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0909 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1982 |
Rocket Lab February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0852 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2082 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.98 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.59 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1054.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.1 | |||
| Variance | 37.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0834 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3965 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1155 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0909 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1982 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 31.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.29) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2797 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.13) |
Rocket Lab USA Backtested Returns
Rocket Lab appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Rocket Lab USA maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.15, which implies the firm had a 0.15 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Rocket Lab's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.91% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Rocket Lab's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0852, coefficient of variation of 1054.11, and Semi Deviation of 4.98 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Rocket Lab holds a performance score of 11. The company holds a Beta of 2.87, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Rocket Lab will likely underperform. Please check Rocket Lab's maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether Rocket Lab's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.78 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Rocket Lab USA has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Rocket Lab time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Rocket Lab USA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Rocket Lab price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.69 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 71.88 |
Rocket Lab technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Rocket Lab USA Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Rocket Lab USA volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Rocket Lab Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Rocket Lab USA on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rocket Lab USA based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Rocket Lab USA price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Rocket Lab USA. By analyzing Rocket Lab's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Rocket Lab's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Rocket Lab specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 6.59 | 6.03 | 6.94 | 12.56 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 203.79 | 135.79 | 122.21 | 146.02 |
Rocket Lab February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Rocket help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rocket from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Rocket charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0852 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2082 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.98 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.59 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1054.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.1 | |||
| Variance | 37.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0834 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3965 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1155 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0909 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1982 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 27.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (9.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 10.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 31.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.29) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2797 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.13) |
Rocket Lab February 17, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Rocket stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.06 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.35 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 67.55 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 67.51 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.60 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.10 |
Complementary Tools for Rocket Stock analysis
When running Rocket Lab's price analysis, check to measure Rocket Lab's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rocket Lab is operating at the current time. Most of Rocket Lab's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rocket Lab's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rocket Lab's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rocket Lab to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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