Silicon Motion Technology Stock Technical Analysis
| SIMO Stock | USD 116.17 0.93 0.79% |
As of the 29th of January, Silicon Motion has the Coefficient Of Variation of 1137.87, semi deviation of 2.59, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0717. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Silicon Motion Technology, as well as the relationship between them.
Silicon Motion Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Silicon, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SiliconSilicon Motion's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Silicon Motion Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 119.09 | Strong Buy | 9 | Odds |
Most Silicon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Silicon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Silicon Motion Technology, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Silicon conference calls.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Silicon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silicon Motion. If investors know Silicon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Silicon Motion data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.875 | Earnings Share 2.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.139 | Return On Assets |
Silicon Motion Technology's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Silicon's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Silicon Motion's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Silicon Motion's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silicon Motion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silicon Motion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silicon Motion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Silicon Motion 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Silicon Motion's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Silicon Motion.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Silicon Motion on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Silicon Motion Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Silicon Motion over 90 days. Silicon Motion is related to or competes with IPG Photonics, Diodes Incorporated, Acm Research, Ambarella, Axcelis Technologies, SPS Commerce, and Dave. Silicon Motion Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and markets NAND flash control... More
Silicon Motion Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Silicon Motion's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Silicon Motion Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.96 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0704 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.25 |
Silicon Motion Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Silicon Motion's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Silicon Motion's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Silicon Motion historical prices to predict the future Silicon Motion's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0717 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2459 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0503 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0834 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2937 |
Silicon Motion January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0717 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3037 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.96 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1137.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.5 | |||
| Variance | 12.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0704 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2459 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0503 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0834 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2937 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.41) | |||
| Skewness | 1.45 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.19 |
Silicon Motion Technology Backtested Returns
Silicon Motion appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Silicon Motion Technology owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0971, which indicates the firm had a 0.0971 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Silicon Motion Technology, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Silicon Motion's Semi Deviation of 2.59, coefficient of variation of 1137.87, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0717 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Silicon Motion holds a performance score of 7. The entity has a beta of 1.01, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Silicon Motion returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Silicon Motion is expected to follow. Please check Silicon Motion's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Silicon Motion's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.31 |
Poor reverse predictability
Silicon Motion Technology has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Silicon Motion time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Silicon Motion Technology price movement. The serial correlation of -0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Silicon Motion price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.31 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.13 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 160.8 |
Silicon Motion technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Silicon Motion Technology Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Silicon Motion Technology volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About Silicon Motion Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Silicon Motion Technology on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Silicon Motion Technology based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Silicon Motion Technology price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Silicon Motion Technology. By analyzing Silicon Motion's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Silicon Motion's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Silicon Motion specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.037 | 0.0333 | 0.0186 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.26 | 2.6 | 4.13 |
Silicon Motion January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Silicon help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Silicon from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Silicon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0717 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3037 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.96 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1137.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.5 | |||
| Variance | 12.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0704 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2459 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0503 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0834 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2937 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 23.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.47) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.41) | |||
| Skewness | 1.45 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.19 |
Silicon Motion January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Silicon stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25,661 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 114.30 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 114.92 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.41 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Silicon Motion Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Silicon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Silicon Motion. If investors know Silicon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Silicon Motion data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.875 | Earnings Share 2.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.139 | Return On Assets |
Silicon Motion Technology's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Silicon's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Silicon Motion's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Silicon Motion's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Silicon Motion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Silicon Motion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Silicon Motion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.