Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock Technical Analysis
| TSM Stock | USD 368.10 5.99 1.60% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor has the Semi Deviation of 1.73, coefficient of variation of 516.98, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1632. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Taiwan Semiconductor, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Taiwan Semiconductor coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Taiwan Semiconductor is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 368.1 per share. Given that Taiwan Semiconductor has jensen alpha of 0.3115, we advise you to double-check Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Taiwan Semiconductor Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Taiwan, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TaiwanTaiwan Semiconductor's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Taiwan Semiconductor Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 419.81 | Strong Buy | 17 | Odds |
Most Taiwan analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Taiwan stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Taiwan Semiconductor, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Taiwan conference calls.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Taiwan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Taiwan Semiconductor. If investors know Taiwan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Taiwan Semiconductor data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.406 | Earnings Share 10.51 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.205 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Taiwan Semiconductor using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Taiwan Semiconductor's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Taiwan Semiconductor's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Taiwan Semiconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Taiwan Semiconductor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Taiwan Semiconductor's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Taiwan Semiconductor 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Taiwan Semiconductor's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Taiwan Semiconductor.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Taiwan Semiconductor on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing or generate 0.0% return on investment in Taiwan Semiconductor over 90 days. Taiwan Semiconductor is related to or competes with Sunrun, CVR Energy, Murphy Oil, Valvoline, California Resources, Valaris, and Magnolia Oil. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and othe... More
Taiwan Semiconductor Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Taiwan Semiconductor's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.155 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.48 |
Taiwan Semiconductor Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Taiwan Semiconductor's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Taiwan Semiconductor's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Taiwan Semiconductor historical prices to predict the future Taiwan Semiconductor's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1632 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3115 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2131 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1648 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3317 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Taiwan Semiconductor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Taiwan Semiconductor February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1632 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3417 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 516.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Variance | 4.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.155 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3115 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2131 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1648 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3317 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.89) | |||
| Skewness | (0.01) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.024 |
Taiwan Semiconductor Backtested Returns
Taiwan Semiconductor appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Taiwan Semiconductor owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.22, which indicates the firm had a 0.22 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Taiwan Semiconductor's Coefficient Of Variation of 516.98, risk adjusted performance of 0.1632, and Semi Deviation of 1.73 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Taiwan Semiconductor holds a performance score of 17. The entity has a beta of 1.19, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Taiwan Semiconductor will likely underperform. Please check Taiwan Semiconductor's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Taiwan Semiconductor's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.54 |
Modest predictability
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Taiwan Semiconductor time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Taiwan Semiconductor price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Taiwan Semiconductor price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.54 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 223.34 |
Taiwan Semiconductor technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Taiwan Semiconductor Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Taiwan Semiconductor across different markets.
About Taiwan Semiconductor Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Taiwan Semiconductor price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Taiwan Semiconductor. By analyzing Taiwan Semiconductor's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Taiwan Semiconductor's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Taiwan Semiconductor specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.019 | 0.013 | 0.0116 | 0.0212 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.11 | 9.63 | 10.55 | 7.44 |
Taiwan Semiconductor February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Taiwan help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Taiwan from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Taiwan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1632 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3417 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 516.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Variance | 4.4 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.155 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3115 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2131 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1648 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3317 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.62 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.98) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.89) | |||
| Skewness | (0.01) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.024 |
Taiwan Semiconductor February 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Taiwan stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2,545,212 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.10) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 350.90 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 356.63 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 14.21 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in producer price index. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Taiwan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Taiwan Semiconductor. If investors know Taiwan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Taiwan Semiconductor data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.406 | Earnings Share 10.51 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.205 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Taiwan Semiconductor using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Taiwan Semiconductor's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Taiwan Semiconductor's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Taiwan Semiconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Taiwan Semiconductor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Taiwan Semiconductor's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.