Xcel Energy Stock Technical Analysis
| XEL Stock | USD 81.55 0.73 0.90% |
As of the 22nd of February, Xcel Energy maintains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.68), downside deviation of 1.26, and Mean Deviation of 0.8811. Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Xcel Energy, as well as the relationship between them. Please check out Xcel Energy downside deviation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and downside variance to decide if Xcel Energy is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 81.55 per share. Given that Xcel Energy has jensen alpha of 0.0288, we strongly advise you to confirm Xcel Energy's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Xcel Energy Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Xcel, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to XcelXcel Energy's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Xcel Energy Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 88.65 | Strong Buy | 17 | Odds |
Most Xcel analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Xcel stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Xcel Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Xcel conference calls.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Energy. Anticipated expansion of Xcel directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Xcel Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.177 | Dividend Share 2.28 | Earnings Share 3.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.141 |
Investors evaluate Xcel Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Xcel Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Xcel Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xcel Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xcel Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Xcel Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Xcel Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xcel Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xcel Energy.
| 11/24/2025 |
| 02/22/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Xcel Energy on November 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xcel Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xcel Energy over 90 days. Xcel Energy is related to or competes with Exelon, Entergy, Dominion Energy, Public Service, WEC Energy, Nextera Energy, and Consolidated Edison. Xcel Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity More
Xcel Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xcel Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xcel Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.62 |
Xcel Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xcel Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xcel Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xcel Energy historical prices to predict the future Xcel Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0276 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0288 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.69) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xcel Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xcel Energy February 22, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0276 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.68) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8811 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3128.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0288 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.69) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.82) | |||
| Skewness | (0.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5224 |
Xcel Energy Backtested Returns
As of now, Xcel Stock is very steady. Xcel Energy shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0394, which attests that the company had a 0.0394 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Xcel Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check out Xcel Energy's Mean Deviation of 0.8811, downside deviation of 1.26, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.68) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0451%. Xcel Energy has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains a market beta of -0.0377, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Xcel Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Xcel Energy is likely to outperform the market. Xcel Energy right now maintains a risk of 1.15%. Please check out Xcel Energy downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Xcel Energy will be following its historical returns.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Xcel Energy has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xcel Energy time series from 24th of November 2025 to 8th of January 2026 and 8th of January 2026 to 22nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xcel Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Xcel Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.72 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5.27 |
Xcel Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Xcel Energy Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Xcel Energy across different markets.
About Xcel Energy Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Xcel Energy on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xcel Energy based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Xcel Energy price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Xcel Energy. By analyzing Xcel Energy's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Xcel Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Xcel Energy specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.032 | 0.0309 | 0.0383 | 0.0502 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.41 | 2.83 | 2.96 | 3.1 |
Xcel Energy February 22, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Xcel help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xcel from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Xcel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0276 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.68) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8811 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3128.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0288 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.69) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.63 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.82) | |||
| Skewness | (0.19) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5224 |
Xcel Energy February 22, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xcel stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.58 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 81.06 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 81.22 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.86 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.25 |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xcel Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. For more information on how to buy Xcel Stock please use our How to buy in Xcel Stock guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Energy. Anticipated expansion of Xcel directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Xcel Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.177 | Dividend Share 2.28 | Earnings Share 3.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.141 |
Investors evaluate Xcel Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Xcel Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Xcel Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xcel Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xcel Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Xcel Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.