Xcel Energy Stock Technical Analysis

XEL Stock  USD 75.95  0.06  0.08%   
As of the 29th of January, Xcel Energy maintains the Mean Deviation of 0.7916, market risk adjusted performance of (0.53), and Standard Deviation of 0.9956. Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Xcel Energy, as well as the relationship between them. Please check out Xcel Energy standard deviation and value at risk to decide if Xcel Energy is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 75.95 per share. Given that Xcel Energy has information ratio of (0.14), we strongly advise you to confirm Xcel Energy's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Xcel Energy Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Xcel, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to XcelXcel Energy's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Xcel Energy Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
86.88Strong Buy17Odds
Xcel Energy current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Xcel analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Xcel stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Xcel Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Xcel conference calls.
Xcel Analyst Advice Details
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Energy. Anticipated expansion of Xcel directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Xcel Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
2.26
Earnings Share
3.28
Revenue Per Share
24.457
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.074
Investors evaluate Xcel Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Xcel Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Xcel Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xcel Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xcel Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Xcel Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Xcel Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xcel Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xcel Energy.
0.00
10/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/29/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Xcel Energy on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xcel Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xcel Energy over 90 days. Xcel Energy is related to or competes with Exelon, Entergy, Dominion Energy, Public Service, WEC Energy, Nextera Energy, and Consolidated Edison. Xcel Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity More

Xcel Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xcel Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xcel Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Xcel Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xcel Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xcel Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xcel Energy historical prices to predict the future Xcel Energy's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xcel Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.2976.2777.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.6281.7082.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.6574.6375.62
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
79.0686.8896.44
Details

Xcel Energy January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Xcel Energy Backtested Returns

Xcel Energy shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0935, which attests that the company had a -0.0935 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Xcel Energy exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Xcel Energy's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.53), standard deviation of 0.9956, and Mean Deviation of 0.7916 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Xcel Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Xcel Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Xcel Energy has a negative expected return of -0.0919%. Please make sure to check out Xcel Energy's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Xcel Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.72  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Xcel Energy has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xcel Energy time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xcel Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current Xcel Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.72
Spearman Rank Test-0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.46
Xcel Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Xcel Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Xcel Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Xcel Energy Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Xcel Energy across different markets.

About Xcel Energy Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Xcel Energy on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xcel Energy based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Xcel Energy price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Xcel Energy. By analyzing Xcel Energy's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Xcel Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Xcel Energy specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0320.03090.03550.0504
Price To Sales Ratio2.412.832.552.67

Xcel Energy January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Xcel help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xcel from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Xcel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Xcel Energy January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xcel stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When determining whether Xcel Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xcel Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xcel Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xcel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Xcel Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
For more information on how to buy Xcel Stock please use our How to buy in Xcel Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Energy. Anticipated expansion of Xcel directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Xcel Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
2.26
Earnings Share
3.28
Revenue Per Share
24.457
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.074
Investors evaluate Xcel Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Xcel Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Xcel Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xcel Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xcel Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Xcel Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.