American Public Valuation

APEI Stock  USD 19.61  0.49  2.56%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. American Public Education shows a prevailing Real Value of $15.26 per share. The current price of the firm is $19.61. Our model approximates the value of American Public Education from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.0565, and Profit Margin of 0.03 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting American Public's valuation include:
Price Book
1.3507
Enterprise Value
446.2 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
9.2994
Price Sales
0.5664
Forward PE
13.6612
Overvalued
Today
19.61
Please note that American Public's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of American Public Education is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing American Public's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since American Public is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of American Stock. However, American Public's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  19.61 Real  15.26 Target  8.0 Hype  19.61 Naive  19.35
The intrinsic value of American Public's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence American Public's stock price.
15.26
Real Value
21.57
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of American Public Education helps investors to forecast how American stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of American Public more accurately as focusing exclusively on American Public's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.260.260.26
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4519.6122.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.2019.3522.51
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.288.008.88
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for American Public Education, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

American Public Cash

116.23 Million

American Valuation Trend

American Public's real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both American Public's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

American Revenue by Product

American Public Total Value Analysis

American Public Education is presently forecasted to have valuation of 446.22 M with market capitalization of 347.33 M, debt of 204.73 M, and cash on hands of 157.72 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the American Public fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
446.22 M
347.33 M
204.73 M
157.72 M

American Public Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Public Education has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from American Public's historical financial statements, American Public Education is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities42.3 M45.5 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable

American Public Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. American Public has an asset utilization ratio of 107.74 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $1.08 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that American Public Education is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
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Yuan Drop
 
Covid

American Public Ownership Allocation

American Public holds a total of 17.71 Million outstanding shares. The majority of American Public Education outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in American Public Education to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in American Public. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of American Public Education as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

American Public Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 600.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 317.86 M.

About American Public Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to American Stock, attempts to find the value of American Public Education based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing American Public's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of American Public's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of American Public. We calculate exposure to American Public's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of American Public's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit307.7 M168.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.09)(0.08)
Operating Profit Margin(0.08)(0.08)
Net Loss(0.08)(0.07)
Gross Profit Margin 0.51  0.48 

American Public Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.429
Forward Price Earnings13.6612

American Public Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of American Public Education and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value American we look at many different elements of the entity such as American's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as American Public, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use American Public's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes American Public's worth.

Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis

When running American Public's price analysis, check to measure American Public's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Public is operating at the current time. Most of American Public's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Public's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Public's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Public to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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