Athabasca Oil Valuation

ATH Stock  CAD 4.90  0.03  0.61%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Athabasca Oil Corp shows a prevailing Real Value of C$4.25 per share. The current price of the firm is C$4.9. Our model approximates the value of Athabasca Oil Corp from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.14, and Profit Margin of 0.18 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Athabasca Oil's valuation include:
Price Book
1.6733
Enterprise Value
2.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
5.0132
Price Sales
1.9812
Forward PE
10.9769
Overvalued
Today
4.90
Please note that Athabasca Oil's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Athabasca Oil Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Athabasca Oil's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Athabasca Oil is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Athabasca Stock. However, Athabasca Oil's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  4.9 Real  4.25 Hype  4.93
The intrinsic value of Athabasca Oil's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Athabasca Oil's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
4.25
Real Value
6.34
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Athabasca Oil Corp helps investors to forecast how Athabasca stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Athabasca Oil more accurately as focusing exclusively on Athabasca Oil's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.130.130.13
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.844.937.02
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Athabasca Oil's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Athabasca Oil's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Athabasca Oil's closest peers.

Athabasca Oil Cash

251.99 Million

Athabasca Valuation Trend

Knowing Athabasca Oil's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Athabasca Oil's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Athabasca Oil Total Value Analysis

Athabasca Oil Corp is presently forecasted to have takeover price of 2.47 B with market capitalization of 2.61 B, debt of 185.54 M, and cash on hands of 197.53 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Athabasca Oil fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.47 B
2.61 B
185.54 M
197.53 M

Athabasca Oil Investor Information

About 25.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Athabasca Oil Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Athabasca Oil Corp is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high risk of going through financial distress in March.

Athabasca Oil Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Athabasca Oil has an asset utilization ratio of 58.34 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.58 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Athabasca Oil Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Athabasca Oil Ownership Allocation

Athabasca Oil holds a total of 528.1 Million outstanding shares. Almost 74.68 percent of Athabasca Oil outstanding shares are held by general public with 0.12 (percent) owned by insiders and only 25.2 % by other corporate entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Athabasca Oil Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (51.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 559.8 M.

About Athabasca Oil Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Athabasca Oil Corp. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Athabasca Oil Corp based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Athabasca Oil's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Athabasca Oil's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Athabasca Oil. We calculate exposure to Athabasca Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Athabasca Oil's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit477 M500.9 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.03)
Operating Profit Margin 0.17  0.18 
Net Loss(0.05)(0.05)
Gross Profit Margin 0.22  0.17 

Other Information on Investing in Athabasca Stock

Athabasca Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Athabasca Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Athabasca with respect to the benefits of owning Athabasca Oil security.