Azul SA Valuation

AZUL4 Preferred Stock  BRL 4.60  0.12  2.68%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Azul SA shows a prevailing Real Value of R$3.84 per share. The current price of the firm is R$4.6. Our model approximates the value of Azul SA from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 335.27 M, operating margin of (0.02) %, and Return On Asset of -0.0122 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
4.60
Please note that Azul SA's price fluctuation is unstable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Azul SA is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Azul SA's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Azul preferred stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Azul SA. Since Azul SA is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Azul Preferred Stock. However, Azul SA's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  4.6 Real  3.84 Hype  4.6 Naive  4.04
The intrinsic value of Azul SA's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Azul SA's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
3.84
Real Value
8.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Azul SA helps investors to forecast how Azul preferred stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Azul SA more accurately as focusing exclusively on Azul SA's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.284.114.93
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.294.608.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.084.048.35
Details

Azul SA Total Value Analysis

Azul SA is presently projected to have takeover price of 27.1 B with market capitalization of 2.96 B, debt of 20.39 B, and cash on hands of 2.84 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Azul SA fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
27.1 B
2.96 B
20.39 B
2.84 B

Azul SA Investor Information

About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.25. Azul SA had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key measurements obtained from Azul SA's financial statements, Azul SA is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in March.

Azul SA Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Azul SA has an asset utilization ratio of 61.74 percent. This implies that the Company is making R$0.62 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Azul SA is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Azul SA Ownership Allocation

Azul SA holds a total of 335.27 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Azul SA outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Azul SA Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 11.44 B. Net Income was 823.7 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 775.84 M.

About Azul SA Valuation

The preferred stock valuation mechanism determines Azul SA's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Azul SA based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Azul SA. We calculate exposure to Azul SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Azul SA's related companies.
Azul S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Brazil. Azul S.A. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Barueri, Brazil. AZUL PN operates under Airlines classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 12435 people.

8 Steps to conduct Azul SA's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Azul SA's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Azul SA's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Azul SA's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Azul SA's revenue streams: Identify Azul SA's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Azul SA's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Azul SA's growth potential: Evaluate Azul SA's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Azul SA's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Azul SA's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Azul Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Azul SA's price analysis, check to measure Azul SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Azul SA is operating at the current time. Most of Azul SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Azul SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Azul SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Azul SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.