Covenant Logistics Valuation

CV5 Stock  EUR 24.20  0.20  0.83%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Covenant Logistics shows a prevailing Real Value of €26.06 per share. The current price of the firm is €24.2. Our model approximates the value of Covenant Logistics from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.01 %, return on equity of 0.0102, and Current Valuation of 865.03 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
1.6343
Enterprise Value
865 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
57.9178
Price Sales
0.5206
Forward PE
16.2602
Undervalued
Today
24.20
Please note that Covenant Logistics' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Covenant Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Covenant Logistics' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Covenant stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Covenant Logistics Group. Since Covenant Logistics is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Covenant Stock. However, Covenant Logistics' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  24.2 Real  26.06 Hype  24.39 Naive  23.6
The real value of Covenant Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Covenant Logistics Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Covenant Logistics' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Covenant Logistics' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
26.06
Real Value
28.86
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Covenant Logistics Group helps investors to forecast how Covenant stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Covenant Logistics more accurately as focusing exclusively on Covenant Logistics' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.850.981.08
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5924.3927.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.8023.6026.40
Details

Covenant Logistics Cash

23.95 Million

Covenant Logistics Total Value Analysis

Covenant Logistics Group is currently estimated to have takeover price of 865.03 M with market capitalization of 606.17 M, debt of 64.21 M, and cash on hands of 4.97 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Covenant Logistics fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
865.03 M
606.17 M
64.21 M
4.97 M

Covenant Logistics Investor Information

About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Covenant Logistics has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 147.37. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 2nd of January 2025. Based on the key indicators related to Covenant Logistics' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Covenant Logistics Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high risk of going through financial distress in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities106.6 M141.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income48.9 M53.3 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Covenant Logistics Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Covenant Logistics has an asset utilization ratio of 113.42 percent. This implies that the Company is making €1.13 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Covenant Logistics Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Covenant Logistics Profitability Analysis

Based on Covenant Logistics' profitability indicators, Covenant Logistics Group may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Covenant Logistics' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2018-06-30
Previous Quarter
9.8 M
Current Value
9.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
13.2 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current Gross Profit is estimated to decrease to about 157.5 M
For Covenant Logistics profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Covenant Logistics to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Covenant Logistics utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Covenant Logistics's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Covenant Logistics over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Covenant Logistics Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Covenant Logistics' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Covenant Logistics' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Covenant Logistics Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Covenant Logistics is projected to generate 0.98 in earnings per share on the 30th of September 2021. Covenant Logistics earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Covenant Logistics EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Covenant Logistics' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Covenant Logistics, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Covenant Logistics Ownership Allocation

Covenant Logistics holds a total of 20.35 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Covenant Logistics' outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Consequently, these institutions are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors in Covenant Logistics. Please watch out for any change in the institutional holdings of Covenant Logistics as this could mean something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Covenant Logistics Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.13 B. Net Income was 35.92 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 256.28 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Covenant Logistics' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Covenant Logistics and how it compares across the competition.

About Covenant Logistics Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Covenant Logistics' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Covenant Logistics. We calculate exposure to Covenant Logistics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Covenant Logistics's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit218.1 M157.5 M

Covenant Logistics Quarterly Retained Earnings

298.22 Million

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When running Covenant Logistics' price analysis, check to measure Covenant Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Covenant Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Covenant Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Covenant Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Covenant Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Covenant Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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