First Guaranty Valuation

FGBIP Preferred Stock  USD 21.56  0.12  0.55%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. First Guaranty Bancshares shows a prevailing Real Value of $21.06 per share. The current price of the firm is $21.56. Our model computes the value of First Guaranty Bancshares from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.27 %, revenue of 111.05 M, and Current Valuation of 267.45 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Fairly Valued
Today
21.56
Please note that First Guaranty's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of First Guaranty Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing First Guaranty's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
First Guaranty's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 21.56, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  21.56 Real  21.06 Hype  21.56 Naive  22.53
The intrinsic value of First Guaranty's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence First Guaranty's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
21.06
Real Value
22.53
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of First Guaranty Bancshares helps investors to forecast how First preferred stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of First Guaranty more accurately as focusing exclusively on First Guaranty's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.7520.7122.67
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0921.5623.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
21.0622.5324.00
Details

First Guaranty Total Value Analysis

First Guaranty Bancshares is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 267.45 M with market capitalization of 267.45 M, debt of 36.93 M, and cash on hands of 120.4 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the First Guaranty fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
267.45 M
267.45 M
36.93 M
120.4 M

First Guaranty Investor Information

The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2023. Based on the key measurements obtained from First Guaranty's financial statements, First Guaranty Bancshares is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high likelihood of going through financial trouble in March.

First Guaranty Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of First connotes not a very effective usage of assets in January.

First Guaranty Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 111.05 M. Net Income was 28.88 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 107.39 M.

About First Guaranty Valuation

The preferred stock valuation mechanism determines First Guaranty's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of First Guaranty Bancshares based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of First Guaranty. We calculate exposure to First Guaranty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of First Guaranty's related companies.
First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for First Guaranty Bank that provides commercial banking services in Louisiana and Texas. First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Hammond, Louisiana. First Guaranty operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 463 people.

8 Steps to conduct First Guaranty's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates First Guaranty's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct First Guaranty's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain First Guaranty's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine First Guaranty's revenue streams: Identify First Guaranty's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research First Guaranty's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish First Guaranty's growth potential: Evaluate First Guaranty's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine First Guaranty's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate First Guaranty's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

First Guaranty Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as First Guaranty does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.392
Retained Earnings76.4 M

Additional Tools for First Preferred Stock Analysis

When running First Guaranty's price analysis, check to measure First Guaranty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Guaranty is operating at the current time. Most of First Guaranty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Guaranty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Guaranty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Guaranty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.