Fastly Valuation

FSLY Stock  USD 9.78  0.49  5.27%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Fastly Class A shows a prevailing Real Value of $8.37 per share. The current price of the firm is $9.78. Our model computes the value of Fastly Class A from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.45 B, profit margin of (0.23) %, and Shares Outstanding of 149.4 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Fastly's valuation include:
Price Book
1.4813
Enterprise Value
1.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(18.37)
Price Sales
2.4682
Forward PE
64.1026
Overvalued
Today
9.78
Please note that Fastly's price fluctuation is moderately volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Fastly Class A is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Fastly's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Fastly is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Fastly Stock. However, Fastly's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.78 Real  8.37 Target  10.93 Hype  9.78 Naive  9.08
The intrinsic value of Fastly's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Fastly's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.37
Real Value
14.04
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fastly Class A helps investors to forecast how Fastly stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fastly more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fastly's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.010.030.05
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.119.7815.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3.409.0814.75
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.9510.9312.13
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Fastly's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Fastly's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Fastly's closest peers.

Fastly Cash

345.56 Million

Fastly Revenue by Product

Fastly Total Value Analysis

Fastly Class A is currently expected to have valuation of 1.45 B with market capitalization of 1.46 B, debt of 404.66 M, and cash on hands of 532.94 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Fastly fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.45 B
1.46 B
404.66 M
532.94 M

Fastly Investor Information

About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fastly Class A recorded a loss per share of 0.96. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key measurements obtained from Fastly's financial statements, Fastly Class A is not in a good financial situation at the present time. It has a very high chance of going through financial crunch in February.

Fastly Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Fastly has an asset utilization ratio of 37.46 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.37 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Fastly Class A is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Fastly Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Fastly's financial statements, Fastly Class A may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high chance of underperforming in February. Profitability indicators assess Fastly's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2018-03-31
Previous Quarter
-37.5 M
Current Value
-29.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
19.3 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 189.4 M in 2026. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop to -0.35 in 2026
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.590.63
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
For Fastly profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Fastly Class A to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Fastly utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Fastly's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Fastly over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Fastly Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Fastly's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Fastly's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Fastly Class A is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Fastly is projected to generate 0.032975 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Fastly earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Fastly EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Fastly's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Fastly, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Fastly Ownership Allocation

Fastly holds a total of 149.4 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Fastly Class A outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Fastly Class A to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Fastly. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Fastly Class A as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Fastly Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 543.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (158.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 325.31 M.

About Fastly Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Fastly. We calculate exposure to Fastly's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Fastly's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit340.3 M189.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.33)(0.35)
Operating Profit Margin(0.36)(0.37)
Net Loss(0.33)(0.35)
Gross Profit Margin 0.63  0.59 

Fastly Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.1 M
Forward Price Earnings64.1026

Fastly Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Fastly Class A and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Fastly we look at many different elements of the entity such as Fastly's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Fastly, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Fastly's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Fastly's worth.

Additional Tools for Fastly Stock Analysis

When running Fastly's price analysis, check to measure Fastly's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastly is operating at the current time. Most of Fastly's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastly's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastly's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastly to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.