Heartland Express Valuation

HTLD Stock  USD 10.16  0.11  1.09%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Heartland Express retains a regular Real Value of $10.29 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $10.16. Our model calculates the value of Heartland Express from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of -0.0435, and Return On Asset of -0.0242 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Heartland Express' valuation include:
Price Book
1.0315
Enterprise Value
955.4 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.1832
Price Sales
0.8958
Forward PE
21.0526
Fairly Valued
Today
10.16
Please note that Heartland Express' price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Heartland Express is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Heartland Express' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Heartland stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Heartland Express. Since Heartland Express is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Heartland Stock. However, Heartland Express' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.16 Real  10.29 Target  9.3 Hype  10.3 Naive  9.87
The real value of Heartland Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Heartland Express Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Heartland Express' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Heartland Express' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
10.29
Real Value
12.50
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Heartland Express helps investors to forecast how Heartland stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Heartland Express more accurately as focusing exclusively on Heartland Express' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.06-0.03-0.0075
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.0910.3012.51
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.050.050.05
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.469.3010.32
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Heartland Express' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Heartland Express' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Heartland Express' closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Heartland Express we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Heartland Express Cash

14 Million

Heartland Express Total Value Analysis

Heartland Express is currently expected to have valuation of 955.4 M with market capitalization of 778.35 M, debt of 208.61 M, and cash on hands of 171.88 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Heartland Express fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
955.4 M
778.35 M
208.61 M
171.88 M

Heartland Express Investor Information

About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.03. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Heartland Express has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.23. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.45. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2025. Heartland Express had 4:3 split on the 16th of May 2006. Based on the key indicators related to Heartland Express' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Heartland Express is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high risk of going through financial distress in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities105.5 M166 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Heartland Express Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Heartland Express has an asset utilization ratio of 78.51 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.79 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Heartland Express is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Heartland Express Profitability Analysis

Based on Heartland Express' profitability indicators, Heartland Express may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Heartland Express' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
-10.9 M
Current Value
-8.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
10.1 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current year's Gross Profit is expected to grow to about 84.6 M, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is projected to grow to (0.04).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.04050.0427
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
For Heartland Express profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Heartland Express to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Heartland Express utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Heartland Express's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Heartland Express over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Heartland Express Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Heartland Express is estimated to be -0.03345 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.062825 to a high of -0.0075. Heartland Express' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.45. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Heartland Express is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Heartland Express is projected to generate -0.03345 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Heartland Express earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Heartland Express EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Heartland Express' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Heartland Express, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Heartland Express Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Heartland Express' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Heartland Express is estimated to be -0.03345 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.062825 to a high of -0.0075. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Heartland Express is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.06
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.03345
-0.0075
Highest

Heartland Express Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Heartland Express' value are higher than the current market price of the Heartland Express stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Heartland Express is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Heartland Express' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
648.93%
0.0
-0.03345
-0.45

Heartland Express Ownership Allocation

Heartland Express has a total of 77.45 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Heartland Express' outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These outside corporations are typically referred to as corporate investors that purchase positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company holds, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Heartland Express Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 235.67 M.

Heartland Express Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Heartland Express' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Heartland Express and how it compares across the competition.

About Heartland Express Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Heartland Express' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Heartland Express. We calculate exposure to Heartland Express's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Heartland Express's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit44.7 M84.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 

Heartland Express Quarterly Retained Earnings

986.4 Million

Heartland Express' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Heartland Express' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Heartland Express can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Heartland Express represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Heartland, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Heartland Express Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about (4 M). In addition to that, Dividend Yield is expected to decline to 0.01. At present, Heartland Express' Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-4.2 M-4 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio(0.18)(0.17)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.45  1.38 
There are various types of dividends Heartland Express can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Heartland shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Heartland Express directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Heartland pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Heartland Express by the value of the dividends paid out.

Heartland Express Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Heartland Express does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.661
Forward Price Earnings21.0526

Heartland Express Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Heartland Express and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Heartland we look at many different elements of the entity such as Heartland's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Heartland Express, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Heartland Express' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Heartland Express' worth.

Complementary Tools for Heartland Stock analysis

When running Heartland Express' price analysis, check to measure Heartland Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heartland Express is operating at the current time. Most of Heartland Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heartland Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heartland Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heartland Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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