Heartland Express Stock Market Outlook
| HTLD Stock | USD 10.85 0.00 0.00% |
About 73 percent of all Heartland Express' shareholders are curious in acquiring. The current sentiment of investing in Heartland Express suggests that quite a large number of traders are confidant. The current market sentiment, together with Heartland Express' historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Heartland Express stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 73
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Heartland Express' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Heartland Express.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentNeutral | Insider SentimentAcquiring |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Heartland Express is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Heartland Express buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HTLD positions.
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Execute Heartland Express Advice
The Heartland recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Heartland Express. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Heartland Express or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Heartland Express' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Heartland Express has a Mean Deviation of 1.96, Semi Deviation of 1.52, Standard Deviation of 2.56, Variance of 6.58, Downside Variance of 4.4 and Semi Variance of 2.32Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Heartland Express and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Heartland Express is not overpriced, please check out all Heartland Express fundamentals, including its current valuation, revenue, current ratio, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash and equivalents . Given that Heartland Express has a price to earning of 18.73 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Heartland Express market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Heartland Express Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 805.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 218.19 M. | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 7th of January 2026 Heartland Express paid $ 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from deadline.com: Blue Fox Acquires Summers Last Resort Buzzkill EFM |
Heartland Express Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Heartland Express' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Heartland Express' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Heartland Express daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Heartland Express price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Heartland Express returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Heartland Express.
| Mean Return | 0.72 | Value At Risk | -2.63 | Potential Upside | 5.90 | Standard Deviation | 2.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Heartland Express historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Heartland Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 667.6 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 599.6 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-06-30 | 599.6 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 550.9 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 505 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 493.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-06-30 | 448 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 425.3 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2025-06-30 | 405.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 6.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 4.8 M |
Heartland Express Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 42.6M | (109.3M) | (23.3M) | (14.9M) | (26.3M) | (25.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (9.2M) | 34.1M | (43.3M) | 34.8M | 31.3M | 32.9M | |
| Depreciation | 104.2M | 133.0M | 199.0M | 181.5M | 208.8M | 219.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (37.4M) | (96.5M) | (40.0M) | (6.5M) | 52.5M | 55.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 204.3M | 132.6M | 160.6M | 208.6M | 109.5M | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | 79.3M | 133.6M | 14.8M | (29.7M) | (52.5M) | (49.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 173.8M | 64.5M | 41.2M | 26.3M | 30.2M | 28.7M | |
| Change To Netincome | (24.6M) | (4.6M) | (42.2M) | (93.1M) | (83.8M) | (79.6M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 45.9M | 6.3M | (6.3M) | (4.7M) | (4.2M) | (4.0M) | |
| Investments | (2.6M) | (663.3M) | (123.6M) | (46.5M) | (41.9M) | (44.0M) | |
| Change Receivables | 6.7M | 1.2M | 2.8M | 20.0M | 23.0M | 24.2M |
Heartland Express Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Heartland Express or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Heartland Express' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Heartland stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.25 |
Heartland Express Volatility Alert
Heartland Express currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.25 and Jensen Alpha of 0.71. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Heartland Express' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Heartland Express' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Heartland Express Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Heartland Express' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Heartland Express' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Heartland Express and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Heartland Express or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Heartland Express' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heartland Express by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Heartland Express to competition |
| Fundamentals | Heartland Express | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0665 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0306 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.20) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 821.16 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 77.44 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 39.58 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 49.74 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.35 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 18.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.82 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.13 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 805.71 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 218.19 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 102.56 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (52.45 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 171.88 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 161.42 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.09 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.34 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.75 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 144.35 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.59 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.67) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.23 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 9.8 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.22 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 910.78 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.19 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 965.4 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 9.89 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 29 shares by David Millis of Heartland Express at 8.37 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Heartland Express Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Heartland . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0859 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.19 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.51) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.91 |
About Heartland Express Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Heartland Express? Buying financial instruments such as Heartland Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Heartland Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Heartland Stock refer to our How to Trade Heartland Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Will Cargo Ground Transportation sector continue expanding? Could Heartland diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heartland Express. Market participants price Heartland higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Heartland Express data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Dividend Share 0.08 | Earnings Share (0.67) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) |
The market value of Heartland Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heartland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heartland Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heartland Express' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Heartland Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heartland Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heartland Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heartland Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Heartland Express' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.