Japan Post Holdings Valuation

JPHLFDelisted Stock  USD 10.36  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Japan Post Holdings retains a regular Real Value of $8.04 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $10.36. Our model calculates the value of Japan Post Holdings from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0363, current valuation of (45.13 T), and Return On Asset of 0.0018 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
10.36
Please note that Japan Post's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Japan Post Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Japan Post's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Japan pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Japan Post Holdings. Since Japan Post is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Japan Pink Sheet. However, Japan Post's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  10.36 Real  8.04 Hype  10.36 Naive  10.08
The real value of Japan Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Japan Post Holdings Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Japan Post's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Japan Post's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
8.04
Real Value
11.40
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Japan Post Holdings helps investors to forecast how Japan pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Japan Post more accurately as focusing exclusively on Japan Post's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.808.2910.78
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3610.3610.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.0810.0810.08
Details

Japan Post Total Value Analysis

Japan Post Holdings is currently expected to have takeover price of (45.13 T) with market capitalization of 31.43 B, debt of 31.52 T, and cash on hands of 78.88 T. The negative valuation of Japan Post may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial obligations of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should thoroughly investigate all of the Japan Post fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(45.13 T)
31.43 B
31.52 T
78.88 T

Japan Post Investor Information

About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Japan Post Holdings last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. Based on the key indicators related to Japan Post's liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Japan Post Holdings is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

Japan Post Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The current return on assets of Japan implies not a very effective usage of assets in November.

Japan Post Ownership Allocation

Japan Post Holdings has a total of 3.52 Billion outstanding shares. Japan Post secures significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Please note that no matter how many assets the company holds, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Japan Post Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 11.26 T. Net Income was 501.69 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.21 T.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Japan Post's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Japan Post and how it compares across the competition.

About Japan Post Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines Japan Post's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Japan Post. We calculate exposure to Japan Post's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Japan Post's related companies.
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. provides postal, banking, and insurance services in Japan. Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Japan Post operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 232112 people.

8 Steps to conduct Japan Post's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Japan Post's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Japan Post's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Japan Post's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Japan Post's revenue streams: Identify Japan Post's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Japan Post's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Japan Post's growth potential: Evaluate Japan Post's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Japan Post's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Japan Post's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Japan Post Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Japan Post does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.133
Retained Earnings6.1 T
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

Other Consideration for investing in Japan Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Japan Post Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Japan Post's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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