Japan Post Holdings Volatility
JPHLFDelisted Stock | USD 10.36 0.00 0.00% |
We have found twenty-five technical indicators for Japan Post Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Japan Post's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (31.54), downside deviation of 7.78, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0941 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Japan Post's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Japan Post Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Japan daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Japan's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Japan Post volatility.
Japan |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Japan Post can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Japan Post at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Japan Post's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Japan Pink Sheet
0.87 | BNPQY | BNP Paribas SA | PairCorr |
0.86 | BNPQF | BNP Paribas SA | PairCorr |
0.76 | BBDC4 | Banco Bradesco SA | PairCorr |
0.55 | NTME | NetMed Inc | PairCorr |
0.5 | BBAS3 | Banco do Brasil | PairCorr |
0.32 | FITBP | Fifth Third Bancorp | PairCorr |
Japan Post Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Japan Post's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Japan pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Japan pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Japan Post's beta of -0.0137 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Japan Post pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Japan Post Holdings shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Japan Post's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Japan Post's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Japan Post Holdings Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Japan Post correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Japan Beta |
Japan standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Japan Post's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Japan Post's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in japan pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Japan Post.
Japan Post Holdings Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Japan Post pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Japan Post's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Japan Post's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Japan Post's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Japan Post's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Japan Post's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Japan Post's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Japan Post's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
We are not able to run technical analysis function on this symbol. We either do not have that equity or its historical data is not available at this time. Please try again later.
Japan Post Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Japan Post Holdings has a beta of -0.0137 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Japan Post are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Japan Post Holdings is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Japan Post or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Japan Post's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Japan pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Japan Post Holdings has an alpha of 0.4339, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Japan Post Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Japan Post Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Japan Post historical daily return volatility represents how much of Japan Post pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7796% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Japan Post Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Japan Post or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Japan Post may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Japan's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Japan Post and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Japan Post fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. provides postal, banking, and insurance services in Japan. Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. Japan Post operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 232112 people.
Japan Post's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Japan Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Japan Post's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Japan Post's volatility to invest better
Higher Japan Post's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Japan Post Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Japan Post Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Japan Post Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Japan Post's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Japan Post's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Japan Post Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.78 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Japan Post Holdings. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Japan Post Holdings is lower than 0 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Japan Post Holdings to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Japan Post to be traded at $10.26 in 90 days.Japan Post Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Japan Post's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Japan Post's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Japan Post pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0941 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (31.54) | |||
Mean Deviation | 2.28 | |||
Semi Deviation | 2.83 | |||
Downside Deviation | 7.78 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 891.52 | |||
Standard Deviation | 3.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Japan Post Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Japan Post as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Japan Post's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Japan Post's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Japan Post Holdings.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Other Consideration for investing in Japan Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Japan Post Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Japan Post's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance |