Alliance Data Valuation

LID Stock  EUR 60.76  0.06  0.1%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Alliance Data Systems shows a prevailing Real Value of €58.25 per share. The current price of the firm is €60.76. Our model approximates the value of Alliance Data Systems from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 3.4 B, profit margin of 0.20 %, and Return On Equity of 0.16 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
0.9596
Enterprise Value
3.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
5.6003
Price Sales
1.0294
Forward PE
7.4019
Overvalued
Today
60.76
Please note that Alliance Data's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alliance Data Systems is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alliance Data's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Alliance stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alliance Data Systems. Since Alliance Data is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alliance Stock. However, Alliance Data's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  60.76 Real  58.25 Hype  60.59
The real value of Alliance Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Alliance Data Systems Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Alliance Data's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Alliance Data's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
58.25
Real Value
66.90
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alliance Data Systems helps investors to forecast how Alliance stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alliance Data more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alliance Data's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
2.143.174.25
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.0660.5963.12
Details

Alliance Data Cash

3.33 Billion

Alliance Data Total Value Analysis

Alliance Data Systems is now estimated to have takeover price of 3.4 B with market capitalization of 2.68 B, debt of 19.84 B, and cash on hands of 4.03 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Alliance Data fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.4 B
2.68 B
19.84 B
4.03 B

Alliance Data Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Alliance Data Systems has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.5. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.23. The firm last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2026. Based on the key measurements obtained from Alliance Data's financial statements, Alliance Data Systems is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to report excellent financial results in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.5 B1.7 B
Moderately Down
Pretty Stable
Operating IncomeB939.6 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable

Alliance Data Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alliance Data has an asset utilization ratio of 16.77 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.17 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alliance Data Systems is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Alliance Data Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Alliance Data's financial statements, Alliance Data Systems may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high chance of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Alliance Data's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2016-12-31
Previous Quarter
139 M
Current Value
188 M
Quarterly Volatility
120.6 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The Alliance Data's current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 2.8 B
For Alliance Data profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Alliance Data Systems to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Alliance Data utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Alliance Data's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Alliance Data over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Alliance Data Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Alliance Data's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Alliance Data's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alliance Data Systems is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Alliance Data is projected to generate 3.17 in earnings per share on the 30th of September 2021. Alliance Data earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Alliance Data EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Alliance Data's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Alliance Data, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Alliance Data Ownership Allocation

Alliance Data Systems retains a total of 44.1 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Alliance Data Systems outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Alliance Data Systems to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Alliance Data. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Alliance Data Systems as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.

Alliance Data Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 3.84 B. Net Income was 277 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.6 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Alliance Data's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Alliance Data and how it compares across the competition.

About Alliance Data Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Alliance Data's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alliance Data. We calculate exposure to Alliance Data's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alliance Data's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.4 B2.8 B

Complementary Tools for Alliance Stock analysis

When running Alliance Data's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Data is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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