Alliance Data (Germany) Performance

LID Stock  EUR 61.72  0.96  1.58%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Alliance Data holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0038, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alliance Data's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alliance Data is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Alliance Data's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Alliance Data's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alliance Data Systems are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Alliance Data reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0126
Payout Ratio
0.0785
Forward Dividend Rate
0.77
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-27
1
Q3 Earnings Highlights Bread Financial Vs The Rest Of The Credit Card Stocks - Yahoo Finance
01/13/2026
  

Alliance Data Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,398  in Alliance Data Systems on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  774.00  from holding Alliance Data Systems or generate 14.34% return on investment over 90 days. Alliance Data Systems is currently producing 0.2595% returns and takes up 2.5292% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 22% of traded stocks are less volatile than Alliance, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alliance Data is expected to generate 3.34 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.34 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of risk.

Alliance Data Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alliance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 61.72 90 days 61.72 
about 44.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alliance Data to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.21 (This Alliance Data Systems probability density function shows the probability of Alliance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alliance Data has a beta of 0.0038. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Alliance Data average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alliance Data Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alliance Data Systems has an alpha of 0.2009, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alliance Data Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alliance Data

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alliance Data Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.9961.5264.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.6761.2063.73
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.143.174.25
Details

Alliance Data Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alliance Data is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alliance Data's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alliance Data Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alliance Data within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
4.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Alliance Data Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alliance Data for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alliance Data Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alliance Data is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Alliance Data Fundamentals Growth

Alliance Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alliance Data, and Alliance Data fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alliance Stock performance.

About Alliance Data Performance

By analyzing Alliance Data's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Alliance Data's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Alliance Data has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alliance Data has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Alliance Data Systems Corporation provides data-driven marketing and loyalty solutions worldwide. Alliance Data Systems Corporation was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. ALLIANCE DATA operates under Credit Services classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 10000 people.

Things to note about Alliance Data Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alliance Data for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alliance Data Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alliance Data is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Alliance Data's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alliance Data's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Alliance Data's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alliance Data's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alliance Data's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alliance Data's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alliance Data's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alliance Data's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alliance Data's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alliance Data's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alliance Data's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Alliance Stock analysis

When running Alliance Data's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Data's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Data is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Data's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Data's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Data's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Data to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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