Merchants Financial Valuation

MFGI Stock  USD 32.00  0.61  1.94%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Merchants Financial secures a last-minute Real Value of $27.44 per share. The latest price of the firm is $32.0. Our model forecasts the value of Merchants Financial from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.23 %, current valuation of 191.74 M, and Return On Equity of 0.13 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
32.00
Please note that Merchants Financial's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Merchants Financial is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Merchants Financial's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Merchants Financial is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Merchants Pink Sheet. However, Merchants Financial's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  32.0 Real  27.44 Hype  32.0 Naive  32.54
The intrinsic value of Merchants Financial's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Merchants Financial's stock price.
27.44
Real Value
35.20
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Merchants Financial Group helps investors to forecast how Merchants pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Merchants Financial more accurately as focusing exclusively on Merchants Financial's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.8628.2831.69
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.7932.0033.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
31.3332.5433.75
Details

Merchants Financial Total Value Analysis

Merchants Financial Group is now forecasted to have valuation of 191.74 M with market capitalization of 257.63 M, debt of 55.8 M, and cash on hands of 824.54 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Merchants Financial fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
191.74 M
257.63 M
55.8 M
824.54 M

Merchants Financial Investor Information

The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2022. Merchants Financial had 3:1 split on the 16th of May 2022. Merchants Financial Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

Merchants Financial Asset Utilization

One of the ways to look at asset utilization of Merchants is to check how much profit was generated for every dollar of assets it reports. Merchants Financial Group makes use of its assets almost 0.0108 %, making 0.0108 cents for each dollar of assets held by the firm. A growing asset utilization conveys that the company is being more effective with each dollar of assets it secures. Strictly speaking, asset utilization of Merchants Financial shows how effective it operates for each dollar spent on its assets.

Merchants Financial Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Merchants Financial Group is $257.63 Million. Roughly 92.81 % of Merchants Financial outstanding shares are held by general public with 7.19 % by institutional investors. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Merchants Financial Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 114.73 M. Net Income was 28.78 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 119.91 M.

About Merchants Financial Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Merchants Pink Sheet, attempts to find the value of Merchants Financial based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Merchants Financial's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Merchants Financial's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Merchants Financial. We calculate exposure to Merchants Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Merchants Financial's related companies.
Merchants Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Merchants Bank, National Association that provides various banking products and services to individuals and families, and companies in the United States. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Winona, Minnesota. Merchants Financial is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

8 Steps to conduct Merchants Financial's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Merchants Financial's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Merchants Financial's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Merchants Financial's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Merchants Financial's revenue streams: Identify Merchants Financial's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Merchants Financial's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Merchants Financial's growth potential: Evaluate Merchants Financial's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Merchants Financial's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Merchants Financial's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Merchants Financial Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.24
Retained Earnings228.6 M

Complementary Tools for Merchants Pink Sheet analysis

When running Merchants Financial's price analysis, check to measure Merchants Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merchants Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Merchants Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merchants Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merchants Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merchants Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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