Merchants Financial Group Stock Technical Analysis
| MFGI Stock | USD 34.25 0.14 0.41% |
As of the 8th of February, Merchants Financial secures the Mean Deviation of 0.6355, risk adjusted performance of 0.3402, and Coefficient Of Variation of 237.58. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Merchants Financial, as well as the relationship between them.
Merchants Financial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Merchants, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MerchantsMerchants |
Merchants Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Merchants Financial's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Merchants Financial.
| 11/10/2025 |
| 02/08/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Merchants Financial on November 10, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Merchants Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Merchants Financial over 90 days. Merchants Financial is related to or competes with TISCO Financial, Malaga Financial, First Northern, Truxton, Morris State, Exchange Bank, and First Farmers. Merchants Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Merchants Bank, National Association that provi... More
Merchants Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Merchants Financial's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Merchants Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8891 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3214 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.13 |
Merchants Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Merchants Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Merchants Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Merchants Financial historical prices to predict the future Merchants Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3402 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3685 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2801 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3256 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 44.47 |
Merchants Financial February 8, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3402 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 44.48 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6355 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.8891 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 237.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9007 | |||
| Variance | 0.8113 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3214 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3685 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2801 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3256 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 44.47 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7906 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.22) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.01) | |||
| Skewness | 1.16 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.06 |
Merchants Financial Backtested Returns
Merchants Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Merchants Financial has Sharpe Ratio of 0.44, which conveys that the firm had a 0.44 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Merchants Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Merchants Financial's Coefficient Of Variation of 237.58, mean deviation of 0.6355, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3402 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Merchants Financial holds a performance score of 34. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0083, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Merchants Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merchants Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Merchants Financial's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Merchants Financial's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.86 |
Very good predictability
Merchants Financial Group has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Merchants Financial time series from 10th of November 2025 to 25th of December 2025 and 25th of December 2025 to 8th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Merchants Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Merchants Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.86 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.81 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.68 |
Merchants Financial technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Merchants Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Merchants Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Merchants Financial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Merchants Financial Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merchants Financial Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Merchants Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Merchants Financial. By analyzing Merchants Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Merchants Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Merchants Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Merchants Financial February 8, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Merchants help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merchants from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Merchants charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3402 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 44.48 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6355 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.8891 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 237.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9007 | |||
| Variance | 0.8113 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3214 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3685 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2801 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3256 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 44.47 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.37) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7906 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.22) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.01) | |||
| Skewness | 1.16 | |||
| Kurtosis | 3.06 |
Merchants Financial February 8, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Merchants stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.40 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 34.20 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 34.22 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.10 |
Complementary Tools for Merchants Pink Sheet analysis
When running Merchants Financial's price analysis, check to measure Merchants Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merchants Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Merchants Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merchants Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merchants Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merchants Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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