Merchants Financial Group Stock Technical Analysis

MFGI Stock  USD 35.50  1.00  2.90%   
As of the 1st of March, Merchants Financial secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.33, coefficient of variation of 232.27, and Mean Deviation of 0.5392. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Merchants Financial, as well as the relationship between them.

Merchants Financial Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Merchants, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Merchants
  
Merchants Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Understanding that Merchants Financial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Merchants Financial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Merchants Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Merchants Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Merchants Financial's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Merchants Financial.
0.00
12/01/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
03/01/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Merchants Financial on December 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Merchants Financial Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Merchants Financial over 90 days. Merchants Financial is related to or competes with TISCO Financial, Malaga Financial, First Northern, Truxton, Morris State, Exchange Bank, and First Farmers. Merchants Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Merchants Bank, National Association that provi... More

Merchants Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Merchants Financial's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Merchants Financial Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Merchants Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Merchants Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Merchants Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Merchants Financial historical prices to predict the future Merchants Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.7035.5036.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.0133.8139.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.1134.9135.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.5035.5035.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Merchants Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Merchants Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Merchants Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Merchants Financial.

Merchants Financial March 1, 2026 Technical Indicators

Merchants Financial Backtested Returns

Merchants Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Merchants Financial has Sharpe Ratio of 0.43, which conveys that the firm had a 0.43 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Merchants Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Merchants Financial's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.33, coefficient of variation of 232.27, and Mean Deviation of 0.5392 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Merchants Financial holds a performance score of 34. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Merchants Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Merchants Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Merchants Financial's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Merchants Financial's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.90  

Excellent predictability

Merchants Financial Group has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Merchants Financial time series from 1st of December 2025 to 15th of January 2026 and 15th of January 2026 to 1st of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Merchants Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Merchants Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.9
Spearman Rank Test0.78
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.91
Merchants Financial technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Merchants Financial technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Merchants Financial trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Merchants Financial Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Merchants Financial across different markets.

About Merchants Financial Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Merchants Financial Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Merchants Financial Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Merchants Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Merchants Financial. By analyzing Merchants Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Merchants Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Merchants Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Merchants Financial March 1, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Merchants help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merchants from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Merchants charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Merchants Financial March 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Merchants stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Merchants Pink Sheet analysis

When running Merchants Financial's price analysis, check to measure Merchants Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merchants Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Merchants Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merchants Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merchants Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merchants Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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