New Gold Valuation

NGD Stock  CAD 13.68  2.65  16.23%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. New Gold secures a last-minute Real Value of C$15.35 per share. The latest price of the firm is C$13.68. Our model forecasts the value of New Gold from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 13.3 B, return on equity of 0.22, and Profit Margin of 0.20 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting New Gold's valuation include:
Price Book
7.6728
Enterprise Value
13.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
16.8154
Price Sales
8.7191
Forward PE
8.9686
Undervalued
Today
13.68
Please note that New Gold's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of New Gold is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing New Gold's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since New Gold is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of New Stock. However, New Gold's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.68 Real  15.35 Hype  13.63 Naive  13.4
The intrinsic value of New Gold's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence New Gold's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.35
Real Value
19.60
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of New Gold helps investors to forecast how New stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of New Gold more accurately as focusing exclusively on New Gold's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.130.250.18
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3813.6317.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.1613.4017.65
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use New Gold's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of New Gold's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against New Gold's closest peers.

New Gold Cash

201.15 Million

New Valuation Drivers Correlation

Many accounts on the financial statements of New Gold are highly interrelated and sometimes correlated. Consequently, when conducting New's valuation analysis, one should examine all of the accounts reported to obtain a complete picture of its financial situation. We provide a unique feature to present a conventional correlation table purposely composed against different valuation-related drivers of New
Click cells to compare fundamentals

New Gold Total Value Analysis

New Gold is now forecasted to have takeover price of 13.3 B with market capitalization of 11.46 B, debt of 399.7 M, and cash on hands of 19.9 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the New Gold fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
13.3 B
11.46 B
399.7 M
19.9 M

New Gold Investor Information

About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. New Gold had 1:3 split on the 25th of July 2002. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from New Gold's historical financial statements, New Gold is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to report excellent financial results in March.

New Gold Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. New Gold has an asset utilization ratio of 46.14 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.46 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that New Gold is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

New Gold Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from New Gold's financial statements, New Gold is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess New Gold's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1997-09-30
Previous Quarter
68.6 M
Current Value
140.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
99.8 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, New Gold's Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 31st of January 2026, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.09, while Gross Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.23.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.230.3
Way Down
Slightly volatile
For New Gold profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of New Gold to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well New Gold utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between New Gold's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of New Gold over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

New Gold Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing New Gold's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across New Gold's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for New Gold is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
New Gold is projected to generate 0.25 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. New Gold earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected New Gold EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on New Gold's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as New Gold, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

New Gold Ownership Allocation

New Gold maintains a total of 791.73 Million outstanding shares. Over half of New Gold's outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These institutional investors are typically referred to as corporate investors that shop for positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Consequently, these institutions are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors in New Gold. Please watch out for any change in the institutional holdings of New Gold as this could mean something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company has, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

New Gold Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 924.5 M. Net Income was 102.6 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 784.2 M.

About New Gold Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of New Gold. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of New Gold based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing New Gold's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of New Gold's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of New Gold. We calculate exposure to New Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of New Gold's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit276.8 M290.6 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.08  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.23 
When determining whether New Gold is a strong investment it is important to analyze New Gold's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact New Gold's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding New Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in New Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
To learn how to invest in New Stock, please use our How to Invest in New Gold guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
It's important to distinguish between New Gold's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding New Gold should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, New Gold's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.