NiSource Valuation

NI Stock  USD 43.52  0.27  0.62%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. NiSource secures a last-minute Real Value of $44.65 per share. The latest price of the firm is $43.52. Our model forecasts the value of NiSource from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0907, return on asset of 0.0331, and Profit Margin of 0.14 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting NiSource's valuation include:
Price Book
2.2727
Enterprise Value
36.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
12.5396
Price Sales
3.2753
Forward PE
21.4592
Fairly Valued
Today
43.52
Please note that NiSource's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of NiSource is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing NiSource's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since NiSource is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of NiSource Stock. However, NiSource's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  43.52 Real  44.65 Target  46.27 Hype  43.52 Naive  43.62
The intrinsic value of NiSource's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence NiSource's stock price.
44.65
Real Value
45.63
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of NiSource helps investors to forecast how NiSource stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of NiSource more accurately as focusing exclusively on NiSource's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.011.051.15
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.5443.5244.50
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.800.820.84
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.1146.2751.36
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for NiSource, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

NiSource Cash

146.05 Million

NiSource Total Value Analysis

NiSource is now forecasted to have takeover value of 36.39 B with market capitalization of 20.72 B, debt of 13.96 B, and cash on hands of 156.6 M. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the NiSource fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
36.39 B
20.72 B
13.96 B
156.6 M

NiSource Investor Information

About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of NiSource was now reported as 19.11. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. NiSource last dividend was issued on the 31st of October 2025. The entity had 2545:1000 split on the 2nd of July 2015. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from NiSource's historical financial statements, NiSource may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.130.24
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating ActivitiesBB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income789.7 M1.3 B
Way Down
Very volatile

NiSource Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. NiSource has an asset utilization ratio of 17.16 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.17 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that NiSource is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from NiSource's financial statements, NiSource may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in February. Profitability indicators assess NiSource's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
102.2 M
Current Value
94.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
116 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
The NiSource's current Pretax Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.22, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to under 3.2 B.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.470.59
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.130.24
Way Down
Pretty Stable
For NiSource profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of NiSource to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well NiSource utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between NiSource's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of NiSource over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
The next projected EPS of NiSource is estimated to be 1.0533 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.015 to a high of 1.15. NiSource's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.9. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for NiSource is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
NiSource is projected to generate 1.0533 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. NiSource earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected NiSource EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on NiSource's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as NiSource, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

NiSource Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of NiSource's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of NiSource is estimated to be 1.0533 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.015 to a high of 1.15. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for NiSource is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.01
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.0533
1.15
Highest

NiSource Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of NiSource's value are higher than the current market price of the NiSource stock. In this case, investors may conclude that NiSource is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and NiSource's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1490.27%
0.0
1.0533
1.9

NiSource Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

NiSource Ownership Allocation

NiSource maintains a total of 473.23 Million outstanding shares. The majority of NiSource outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in NiSource to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in NiSource. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of NiSource as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost one million one hundred thirty-five thousand seven hundred fifty-eight invesors are currently shorting NiSource expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

NiSource Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 5.46 B. Reported Net Income was 760.4 M with gross profit of 3.22 B.

NiSource Past Distributions to stockholders

About NiSource Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to NiSource Stock, attempts to find the value of NiSource based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing NiSource's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of NiSource's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of NiSource. We calculate exposure to NiSource's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of NiSource's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.2 B3.2 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.21  0.22 
Operating Profit Margin 0.24  0.13 
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Gross Profit Margin 0.59  0.47 
NiSource's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether NiSource's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of NiSource can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of NiSource represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of NiSource, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

NiSource Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of now, NiSource's Dividend Payout Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The NiSource's current Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.87, while Dividends Paid is projected to decrease to under 282.7 M. . As of now, NiSource's Price Earnings Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The NiSource's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 8.25, while Retained Earnings are forecasted to increase to (608.5 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid562.6 M282.7 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.74  0.78 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.65  0.87 
There are various types of dividends NiSource can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of NiSource shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from NiSource directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When NiSource pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of NiSource by the value of the dividends paid out.

NiSource Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding456 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.057
Forward Price Earnings21.4592

NiSource Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of NiSource and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value NiSource we look at many different elements of the entity such as NiSource's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as NiSource, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use NiSource's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes NiSource's worth.

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When running NiSource's price analysis, check to measure NiSource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NiSource is operating at the current time. Most of NiSource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NiSource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NiSource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NiSource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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