Old Dominion Valuation

ODFL Stock  USD 217.89  3.56  1.66%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Old Dominion Freight holds a recent Real Value of $266.66 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $217.89. Our model determines the value of Old Dominion Freight from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.27 %, return on equity of 0.3, and Shares Outstanding of 213.5 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Old Dominion's valuation include:
Price Book
10.8289
Enterprise Value
45.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
27.4297
Price Sales
7.7237
Forward PE
35.2113
Undervalued
Today
217.89
Please note that Old Dominion's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Old Dominion Freight is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Old Dominion's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Old stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Old Dominion Freight. Since Old Dominion is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Old Stock. However, Old Dominion's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  217.89 Real  266.66 Target  417.94 Hype  217.09 Naive  204.65
The intrinsic value of Old Dominion's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Old Dominion's stock price.
196.10
Downside
266.66
Real Value
269.03
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Old Dominion Freight helps investors to forecast how Old stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Old Dominion more accurately as focusing exclusively on Old Dominion's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.351.361.40
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
214.72217.09219.46
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.051.071.08
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
380.33417.94463.91
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Old Dominion's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Old Dominion's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Old Dominion's closest peers.

Old Dominion Cash

455.49 Million

Old Valuation Trend

Knowing Old Dominion's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Old Dominion's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Old Revenue by Product

Old Dominion Total Value Analysis

Old Dominion Freight is now forecasted to have valuation of 45.2 B with market capitalization of 45.76 B, debt of 200.38 M, and cash on hands of 375.56 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Old Dominion fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
45.2 B
45.76 B
200.38 M
375.56 M

Old Dominion Investor Information

About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.72. Old Dominion Freight last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of March 2024. Based on the analysis of Old Dominion's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Old Dominion Freight is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great risk to report excellent financial results in December.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.290.2797
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.6 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.7 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Old Dominion Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Old Dominion has an asset utilization ratio of 106.42 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.06 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Old Dominion Freight is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Old Dominion Ownership Allocation

Old Dominion owns a total of 213.5 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Old Dominion Freight outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Old Dominion Freight to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Old Dominion. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Old Dominion Freight as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On November 11, 2024, Representative Ro Khanna of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of Old Dominion Freight's common stock.

Old Dominion Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.87 B. Net Income was 1.24 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.49 B.

Old Dominion Past Distributions to stockholders

About Old Dominion Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Old Dominion Freight. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Old Dominion Freight based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Old Dominion's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Old Dominion's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Old Dominion. We calculate exposure to Old Dominion's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Old Dominion's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.1 B2.2 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.28  0.29 
Operating Profit Margin 0.28  0.29 
Net Profit Margin 0.21  0.22 
Gross Profit Margin 0.35  0.62 

Old Dominion Quarterly Retained Earnings

3.97 Billion

Old Dominion's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Old Dominion's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Old Dominion can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Old Dominion represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Old, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Old Dominion Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividends Paid is expected to rise to about 183.8 M this year, although the value of Dividend Yield will most likely fall to 0. . At this time, Old Dominion's Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is expected to rise to 47.20 this year, although the value of Retained Earnings Total Equity will most likely fall to about 2.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid175.1 M183.8 M
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.14  0.13 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.68  0.88 
There are various types of dividends Old Dominion can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Old shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Old Dominion Freight directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Old pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Old Dominion by the value of the dividends paid out.

Old Dominion Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Old Dominion does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding220.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.071
Forward Price Earnings35.2113

Old Dominion Current Valuation Indicators

Old Dominion's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Old Dominion's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Old Dominion, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Old Dominion's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Old Dominion's worth.
When determining whether Old Dominion Freight is a strong investment it is important to analyze Old Dominion's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Old Dominion's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Old Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Old Dominion Freight. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Dominion. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Dominion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
0.98
Earnings Share
5.72
Revenue Per Share
27.363
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Old Dominion Freight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Dominion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Dominion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Dominion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Dominion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.