Old Dominion Freight Stock Performance
| ODFL Stock | USD 198.06 -2.56 -1.28% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
1 · Weak
Across the last 90 days, the risk-adjusted return profile of Old Dominion Freight is weaker than 1% of the global equities and portfolios reviewed by Macroaxis. The company operates within the Industrials sector and the Trucking industry. Old Dominion has generated minimal returns over the measured period, suggesting limited compensation for volatility. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -1.28 | Five Day Return -7.22 | Year To Date Return 26.31 | Ten Year Return 818.22 | All Time Return 34,607 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.6% | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.16 | Dividend Date 2026-03-18 |
1 | Disposition of 268 shares by Kelley Christopher James of Old Dominion at 202.47 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/13/2026 |
2 | Disposition of 3134 shares by Gabosch Bradley R of Old Dominion at 194.27 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/18/2026 |
3 | Old Dominion Freight Line Inc Shares Gap Down to 188.1 o - Guru Focus | 03/09/2026 |
| Old Dominion dividend paid on 18th of March 2026 | 03/18/2026 |
4 | Leadership Qualities At The Core Of Jordan Salisburys USF Experience | 03/31/2026 |
5 | What To Expect From Old Dominion Freight Lines Q 1 Earnings | 04/28/2026 |
6 | Old Dominion Freight Line Beats Q 1 CY 2026 Sales Expectations | 04/29/2026 |
7 | Old Dominion notes retail improvement, early optimism with industrial | 04/30/2026 |
8 | Old Dominion Freight Line Valuation Check After Strong 1 Year Shareholder Return | 05/01/2026 |
9 | Danske Bank A S Raises Stake in Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ODFL | 05/04/2026 |
10 | 1 Nasdaq 100 Stock Worth Your Attention and 2 Facing Challenges | 05/05/2026 |
Performance Related Modules
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 19,584 in Old Dominion Freight on February 7, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 222.00 , a return of 1.13% over 90 days. Old Dominion Freight is currently generating a 0.0546% daily expected return and carries 2.7% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Old Dominion exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 76% of comparable stocks, and ODFL has trailed 99% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Mean reversion in Old Dominion Stock pricing reflects the documented tendency for stocks to gravitate toward equilibrium. While this pattern holds broadly, certain stocks can remain mispriced for extended periods before correction.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 198.06 | 90 days | 198.06 | about 55.83 % |
Using a normal distribution model, the likelihood of Old Dominion moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 55.83 %. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (The curve shows where outcomes have been clustering for Old Dominion Stock over the next 90 days). The curve width gives a practical read on how much uncertainty surrounds Old Dominion Stock over this horizon.
Old Dominion Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Old Dominion
Forecasting Old Dominion Freight requires combining quantitative signals with evolving sentiment and fundamental trends. Each approach has strengths and limitations, making diversified forecasting strategies especially important for Old Dominion Freight.Mean reversion is the tendency of Old Dominion's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Some analysts monitor this tendency by comparing Old Dominion's price extremes to fundamental value.
Primary Risk Indicators
Over the past two decades, the stock market has experienced significant volatility affecting Old Dominion. Old Dominion has seen dramatic price moves that have reshaped risk profiles for its holders.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Targeted alerts for Old Dominion provide the responsiveness needed to evaluate market conditions and assess potential outcomes. These notifications for Old Dominion Freight help investors make timely decisions in response to significant stock events.| Old Dominion Freight's Piotroski F-Score indicates relatively stable underlying signals within the model framework, despite current profitability pressure | |
| On 18th of March 2026 Old Dominion paid $ 0.29 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Eaton Stock Is Under Pressure After Q 1 Earnings |
Price Density Drivers
Price movements in Old Dominion are influenced by the balance of buyer and seller positioning dynamics. Monitoring key indicators provides context for understanding when price movements are fundamental versus tactical.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 209.89 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 120.09 million |
Old Dominion Fundamentals Growth
The market price of Old Dominion Stock is shaped by investors' expectations for Old Dominion's financial performance. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a role in Old Dominion Stock pricing.
| Current Valuation | 41.52 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 207.97 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.79 X | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Return quality for Old Dominion evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Consistent positive returns across rolling windows support confidence in structural performance patterns. Old Dominion shows ROE of 23.33%, ROA of 15.03% (TTM) vs 19.0% (last reported).
Old Dominion Freight inputs come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board