Oregon Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ORPB Stock | USD 7.76 0.04 0.51% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oregon Pacific Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.09. Oregon Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Oregon Pacific stock prices and determine the direction of Oregon Pacific Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Oregon Pacific's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Oregon |
Oregon Pacific Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oregon Pacific Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oregon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oregon Pacific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Oregon Pacific Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Oregon Pacific | Oregon Pacific Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Oregon Pacific Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Oregon Pacific's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oregon Pacific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.57 and 8.54, respectively. We have considered Oregon Pacific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oregon Pacific pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oregon Pacific pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2487 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.066 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0085 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.091 |
Predictive Modules for Oregon Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oregon Pacific Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Oregon Pacific
For every potential investor in Oregon, whether a beginner or expert, Oregon Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oregon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oregon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oregon Pacific's price trends.View Oregon Pacific Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Oregon Pacific Bancorp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oregon Pacific's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oregon Pacific's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Oregon Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oregon Pacific pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oregon Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oregon Pacific pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Oregon Pacific Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.55 |
Oregon Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Oregon Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oregon Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oregon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4986 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.749 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.561 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Oregon Pink Sheet
Oregon Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oregon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oregon with respect to the benefits of owning Oregon Pacific security.