JM Smucker Valuation

SJM Stock  USD 113.62  0.32  0.28%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. JM Smucker owns a latest Real Value of $125.17 per share. The recent price of the firm is $113.62. Our model calculates the value of JM Smucker from inspecting the firm fundamentals such as Shares Owned By Insiders of 2.86 %, return on asset of 0.0538, and Operating Margin of 0.17 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting JM Smucker's valuation include:
Price Book
1.5517
Enterprise Value
20.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.416
Price Sales
1.4186
Forward PE
11.7925
Undervalued
Today
113.62
Please note that JM Smucker's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of JM Smucker is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing JM Smucker's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the SJM stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of JM Smucker. Since JM Smucker is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of SJM Stock. However, JM Smucker's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  113.62 Real  125.17 Target  136.82 Hype  113.3 Naive  116.08
The intrinsic value of JM Smucker's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence JM Smucker's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
101.97
Downside
125.17
Real Value
126.51
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of JM Smucker helps investors to forecast how SJM stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of JM Smucker more accurately as focusing exclusively on JM Smucker's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
2.452.512.58
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.96113.30114.64
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
2.702.792.89
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
124.51136.82151.87
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use JM Smucker's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of JM Smucker's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against JM Smucker's closest peers.

JM Smucker Cash

58.9 Million

SJM Valuation Trend

Knowing JM Smucker's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both JM Smucker's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

SJM Revenue by Product

JM Smucker Total Value Analysis

JM Smucker is at this time forecasted to have company total value of 20.62 B with market capitalization of 12.06 B, debt of 8.56 B, and cash on hands of 655.8 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the JM Smucker fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
20.62 B
12.06 B
8.56 B
655.8 M

JM Smucker Investor Information

About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. JM Smucker has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.59. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.08. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. JM Smucker had 0.945:1 split on the 3rd of June 2002. Based on the analysis of JM Smucker's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, JM Smucker may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.0960.1597
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.3 B1.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.4 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

JM Smucker Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. JM Smucker has an asset utilization ratio of 40.34 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.4 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that JM Smucker is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

JM Smucker Ownership Allocation

JM Smucker secures a total of 106.41 Million outstanding shares. The majority of JM Smucker outstanding shares are owned by institutions. These other corporate entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in JM Smucker to benefit from reduced commissions. Hence, outside corporations are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in JM Smucker. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of JM Smucker as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on January 13, 2020, Representative Bob Gibbs of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of JM Smucker's common stock.

JM Smucker Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.18 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 744 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.72 B.

JM Smucker Past Distributions to stockholders

About JM Smucker Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of JM Smucker. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of JM Smucker based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing JM Smucker's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of JM Smucker's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of JM Smucker. We calculate exposure to JM Smucker's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of JM Smucker's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.9 BB
Pretax Profit Margin 0.12  0.12 
Operating Profit Margin 0.16  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.38  0.29 

JM Smucker Quarterly Retained Earnings

2.26 Billion

JM Smucker's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether JM Smucker's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of JM Smucker can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of JM Smucker represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of SJM, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

JM Smucker Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, JM Smucker's Dividends Paid is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to grow to 1.23, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.03. . At this time, JM Smucker's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.07, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop about 1.9 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid437.5 M459.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.59  0.37 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.20  1.23 
There are various types of dividends JM Smucker can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of SJM shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from JM Smucker directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When SJM pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of JM Smucker by the value of the dividends paid out.

JM Smucker Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as JM Smucker does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding104.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.026
Forward Price Earnings11.7925

JM Smucker Current Valuation Indicators

JM Smucker's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final JM Smucker's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as JM Smucker, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use JM Smucker's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes JM Smucker's worth.
When determining whether JM Smucker is a strong investment it is important to analyze JM Smucker's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact JM Smucker's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding SJM Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in JM Smucker. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in SJM Stock, please use our How to Invest in JM Smucker guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JM Smucker. If investors know SJM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JM Smucker listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
4.26
Earnings Share
7.08
Revenue Per Share
80.881
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.177
The market value of JM Smucker is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SJM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JM Smucker's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JM Smucker's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JM Smucker's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JM Smucker's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JM Smucker's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JM Smucker is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JM Smucker's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.