Topicus Valuation

TOI Stock  CAD 101.00  0.59  0.58%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Topicus has a current Real Value of C$93.93 per share. The regular price of the company is C$101.0. Our model measures the value of Topicus from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.0802, operating margin of 0.15 %, and Shares Outstanding of 83.34 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Topicus' valuation include:
Price Book
12.2759
Enterprise Value
9.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
18.681
Price Sales
5.6858
Forward PE
22.0751
Overvalued
Today
101.00
Please note that Topicus' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Topicus is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Topicus' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Topicus stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Topicus. Since Topicus is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Topicus Stock. However, Topicus' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  101.0 Real  93.93 Hype  101.0 Naive  98.58
The intrinsic value of Topicus' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Topicus' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
93.93
Real Value
111.10
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Topicus helps investors to forecast how Topicus stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Topicus more accurately as focusing exclusively on Topicus' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.020.710.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.62101.00103.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
96.2098.58100.95
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Topicus' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Topicus' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Topicus' closest peers.

Topicus Cash

124.85 Million

Topicus Total Value Analysis

Topicus is at this time estimated to have takeover price of 9.38 B with market capitalization of 8.42 B, debt of 225.72 M, and cash on hands of 65.22 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Topicus fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
9.38 B
8.42 B
225.72 M
65.22 M

Topicus Investor Information

About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Based on the key indicators related to Topicus' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Topicus may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities206.7 M399.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income150.6 M252.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Topicus Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Topicus has an asset utilization ratio of 84.31 percent. This indicates that the Company is making C$0.84 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Topicus is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Topicus Profitability Analysis

Based on Topicus' profitability indicators, Topicus is yielding more profit at the present time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate chance of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Topicus' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
105.8 M
Current Value
111.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
472 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Topicus' Pretax Profit Margin is fairly stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is likely to climb to 0.16 in 2026, whereas Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 419 M in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.410.42
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Equity0.250.27
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
For Topicus profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Topicus to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Topicus utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Topicus's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Topicus over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Topicus Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Topicus' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Topicus' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Topicus is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Topicus is projected to generate 0.71 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Topicus earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Topicus EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Topicus' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Topicus, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Topicus Ownership Allocation

Topicus shows a total of 83.34 Million outstanding shares. Topicus maintains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Topicus Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.29 B. Net Income was 91.99 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 536.99 M.

About Topicus Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Topicus. We calculate exposure to Topicus's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Topicus's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit542 M419 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Operating Profit Margin 0.15  0.16 
Net Profit Margin 0.08  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.42  0.41 

Additional Tools for Topicus Stock Analysis

When running Topicus' price analysis, check to measure Topicus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topicus is operating at the current time. Most of Topicus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topicus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topicus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topicus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.