Ulta Beauty Valuation

ULTA Stock  USD 405.01  8.32  2.01%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Ulta Beauty has a current Real Value of $371.43 per share. The regular price of the company is $405.01. Our model measures the value of Ulta Beauty from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 46.37 M, return on equity of 0.55, and Operating Margin of 0.13 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Ulta Beauty's valuation include:
Price Book
8.1113
Enterprise Value
20.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.3312
Price Sales
1.693
Forward PE
17.1821
Overvalued
Today
405.01
Please note that Ulta Beauty's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ulta Beauty is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ulta Beauty's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Ulta Beauty is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ulta Stock. However, Ulta Beauty's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  405.01 Real  371.43 Target  455.31 Hype  405.68
The real value of Ulta Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Ulta Beauty Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Ulta Beauty's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Ulta Beauty's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
369.12
Downside
371.43
Real Value
445.51
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ulta Beauty helps investors to forecast how Ulta stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ulta Beauty more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ulta Beauty's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
5.916.006.21
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
403.37405.68407.99
Details
30 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
414.33455.31505.40
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Ulta Beauty's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Ulta Beauty's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Ulta Beauty's closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for Ulta Beauty we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Ulta Beauty Cash

925.66 Million

Ulta Valuation Trend

Comparing Ulta Beauty's enterprise value against its market capitalization is a good way to estimate the value of Ulta Beauty uage its performance over time. This information may sometimes be enough for investors to make reasonable market timing decisions.

Ulta Revenue by Product

Ulta Beauty Total Value Analysis

Ulta Beauty is at this time anticipated to have valuation of 20.85 B with market capitalization of 19.17 B, debt of 1.91 B, and cash on hands of 434.23 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Ulta Beauty fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
20.85 B
19.17 B
1.91 B
434.23 M

Ulta Beauty Investor Information

About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.69. Ulta Beauty recorded earning per share (EPS) of 24.97. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2012. Based on the key measurements obtained from Ulta Beauty's financial statements, Ulta Beauty is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in February.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.07870.1266
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.8 B1.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating IncomeB1.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Ulta Beauty Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ulta Beauty has an asset utilization ratio of 196.38 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.96 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ulta Beauty is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Ulta Beauty Ownership Allocation

Ulta Beauty shows a total of 46.37 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Ulta Beauty outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Ulta Beauty to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Ulta Beauty. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Ulta Beauty as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On December 6, 2024, Representative Ro Khanna of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Ulta Beauty's common stock.

Ulta Beauty Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.21 B. Net Income was 1.29 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.81 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Ulta Beauty's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Ulta Beauty and how it compares across the competition.

About Ulta Beauty Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Ulta Beauty's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ulta Beauty. We calculate exposure to Ulta Beauty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ulta Beauty's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross ProfitB5.3 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.13  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.13  0.08 
Net Profit Margin 0.08  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.35  0.27 

Ulta Beauty Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.12
Forward Price Earnings17.1821

Ulta Beauty Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Ulta Beauty and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Ulta we look at many different elements of the entity such as Ulta's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Ulta Beauty, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Ulta Beauty's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Ulta Beauty's worth.

Complementary Tools for Ulta Stock analysis

When running Ulta Beauty's price analysis, check to measure Ulta Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ulta Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of Ulta Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ulta Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ulta Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ulta Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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