Ulta Beauty Earnings Estimate

ULTA Stock  USD 418.53  7.87  1.92%   
The next projected EPS of Ulta Beauty is estimated to be 5.99955 with future projections ranging from a low of 5.91 to a high of 6.0975. Ulta Beauty's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 24.96. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Ulta Beauty is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Ulta Beauty is projected to generate 5.99955 in earnings per share on the 31st of January 2025. Ulta Beauty earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Ulta Beauty EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Ulta Beauty's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Ulta Beauty, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Ulta Beauty Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Ulta Beauty's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Ulta Beauty's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. The current year's Gross Profit is expected to grow to about 5.3 B, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.08.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ulta Beauty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For information on how to trade Ulta Stock refer to our How to Trade Ulta Stock guide.

Ulta Beauty Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Ulta Beauty's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Ulta Beauty is estimated to be 5.99955 with the future projection ranging from a low of 5.91 to a high of 6.0975. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Ulta Beauty is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
5.14
5.91
Lowest
Expected EPS
5.99955
6.10
Highest

Ulta Beauty Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Ulta Beauty's value are higher than the current market price of the Ulta Beauty stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Ulta Beauty is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Ulta Beauty's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of January 2025Current EPS (TTM)
3090.06%
5.14
5.99955
24.96

Ulta Beauty Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Ulta Beauty analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Ulta Beauty's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Ulta Beauty's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Gross Profit

1.01 Billion

At present, Ulta Beauty's Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 1.32, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is forecasted to decline to about 923.3 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 1.5 B, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 55.9 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ulta Beauty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
417.60419.95422.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
374.36376.71461.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
441.70444.06446.41
Details
30 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
414.33455.31505.40
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Ulta assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Ulta Beauty. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Ulta Beauty's stock price in the short term.

Ulta Beauty Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Ulta Beauty refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Ulta Beauty predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Ulta Beauty, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Ulta Beauty Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Ulta Beauty, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Ulta Beauty should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Ulta Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ulta Beauty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-12-05
2024-10-314.535.140.6113 
2024-08-29
2024-07-315.465.3-0.16
2024-05-30
2024-04-306.246.470.23
2024-03-14
2024-01-317.538.080.55
2023-11-30
2023-10-314.955.070.12
2023-08-24
2023-07-315.856.020.17
2023-05-25
2023-04-306.876.880.01
2023-03-09
2023-01-315.686.681.017 
2022-12-01
2022-10-314.155.341.1928 
2022-08-25
2022-07-3155.70.714 
2022-05-26
2022-04-304.466.31.8441 
2022-03-10
2022-01-314.585.410.8318 
2021-12-02
2021-10-312.463.941.4860 
2021-08-25
2021-07-312.564.562.078 
2021-05-27
2021-04-301.954.072.12108 
2021-03-11
2021-01-312.353.411.0645 
2020-12-03
2020-10-311.491.640.1510 
2020-08-27
2020-07-310.060.730.671116 
2020-05-28
2020-04-300.48-1.05-1.53318 
2020-03-12
2020-01-313.733.890.16
2019-12-05
2019-10-312.132.250.12
2019-08-29
2019-07-312.82.76-0.04
2019-05-30
2019-04-303.073.260.19
2019-03-14
2019-01-313.563.610.05
2018-12-06
2018-10-312.162.180.02
2018-08-30
2018-07-312.412.460.05
2018-05-31
2018-04-302.482.70.22
2018-03-15
2018-01-312.782.75-0.03
2017-11-30
2017-10-311.671.750.08
2017-08-24
2017-07-311.781.830.05
2017-05-25
2017-04-301.81.910.11
2017-03-09
2017-01-312.132.240.11
2016-12-01
2016-10-311.371.40.03
2016-08-25
2016-07-311.391.430.04
2016-05-26
2016-04-301.291.450.1612 
2016-03-10
2016-01-311.541.690.15
2015-12-03
2015-10-311.051.110.06
2015-08-27
2015-07-311.121.150.03
2015-05-28
2015-04-300.931.040.1111 
2015-03-12
2015-01-311.271.350.08
2014-12-04
2014-10-310.840.910.07
2014-09-11
2014-07-310.830.940.1113 
2014-06-10
2014-04-300.740.770.03
2014-03-13
2014-01-311.071.090.02
2013-12-05
2013-10-310.740.72-0.02
2013-09-12
2013-07-310.670.70.03
2013-06-11
2013-04-300.620.650.03
2013-03-14
2013-01-310.981.00.02
2012-11-29
2012-10-310.560.590.03
2012-09-06
2012-07-310.510.540.03
2012-06-05
2012-04-300.530.540.01
2012-03-08
2012-01-310.680.730.05
2011-12-01
2011-10-310.380.420.0410 
2011-09-08
2011-07-310.320.380.0618 
2011-06-07
2011-04-300.310.370.0619 
2011-03-10
2011-01-310.440.490.0511 
2010-12-02
2010-10-310.20.230.0315 
2010-09-02
2010-07-310.180.220.0422 
2010-06-03
2010-04-300.190.230.0421 
2010-03-11
2010-01-310.30.340.0413 
2009-12-03
2009-10-310.110.140.0327 
2009-09-03
2009-07-310.050.10.05100 
2009-06-04
2009-04-300.050.080.0360 
2009-03-19
2009-01-310.190.210.0210 
2008-12-04
2008-10-310.090.090.0
2008-09-04
2008-07-310.050.060.0120 
2008-06-04
2008-04-300.070.080.0114 
2008-03-19
2008-01-310.230.230.0

About Ulta Beauty Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Ulta Beauty earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Ulta Beauty estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Ulta Beauty fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings1.5 B1.6 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity1.1 B923.3 M
Earnings Yield 0.03  0.03 
Price Earnings Ratio 33.01  20.52 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 1.26  1.32 

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When determining whether Ulta Beauty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ulta Beauty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ulta Beauty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ulta Beauty Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ulta Beauty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For information on how to trade Ulta Stock refer to our How to Trade Ulta Stock guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ulta Beauty. If investors know Ulta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ulta Beauty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Earnings Share
24.96
Revenue Per Share
234.543
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.009
Return On Assets
0.1791
The market value of Ulta Beauty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ulta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ulta Beauty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ulta Beauty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ulta Beauty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ulta Beauty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ulta Beauty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ulta Beauty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ulta Beauty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.