ZTO Express Valuation

ZTOA Stock  EUR 17.30  0.80  4.42%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. ZTO Express maintains a prevalent Real Value of €16.02 per share. The last-minute price of the company is €17.3. Our model calculates the value of ZTO Express from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.13, current valuation of 19.56 B, and Profit Margin of 0.18 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
17.30
Please note that ZTO Express' price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of ZTO Express is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing ZTO Express' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the ZTO stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of ZTO Express. Since ZTO Express is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of ZTO Stock. However, ZTO Express' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.3 Real  16.02 Hype  17.3 Naive  16.22
The real value of ZTO Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of ZTO Express Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on ZTO Express' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of ZTO Express' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
16.02
Real Value
18.46
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of ZTO Express helps investors to forecast how ZTO stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of ZTO Express more accurately as focusing exclusively on ZTO Express' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.5918.0919.59
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8617.3019.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.7916.2218.66
Details

ZTO Express Total Value Analysis

ZTO Express is at this time estimated to have takeover price of 19.56 B with market capitalization of 18.58 B, debt of 0, and cash on hands of 2.76 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the ZTO Express fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

ZTO Express Investor Information

About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of ZTO Express was at this time reported as 64.11. The company last dividend was issued on the 7th of April 2022. Based on the key indicators related to ZTO Express' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, ZTO Express is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in December.

ZTO Express Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. ZTO Express has an asset utilization ratio of 48.44 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.48 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that ZTO Express is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

ZTO Express Ownership Allocation

ZTO Express retains a total of 809.73 Million outstanding shares. 30% of ZTO Express outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Accordingly, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company shows, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

ZTO Express Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 30.41 B. Net Income was 4.75 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.59 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates ZTO Express' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in ZTO Express and how it compares across the competition.

About ZTO Express Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines ZTO Express' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of ZTO Express. We calculate exposure to ZTO Express's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of ZTO Express's related companies.
ZTO Express Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the Peoples Republic of China. ZTO Express Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the Peoples Republic of China. ZTO EXPR operates under Integrated Shipping Logistics classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 15700 people.

8 Steps to conduct ZTO Express' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates ZTO Express' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct ZTO Express' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain ZTO Express' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine ZTO Express' revenue streams: Identify ZTO Express' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research ZTO Express' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish ZTO Express' growth potential: Evaluate ZTO Express' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine ZTO Express' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate ZTO Express' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Complementary Tools for ZTO Stock analysis

When running ZTO Express' price analysis, check to measure ZTO Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ZTO Express is operating at the current time. Most of ZTO Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ZTO Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ZTO Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ZTO Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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