ZTO Express (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ZTOA Stock  EUR 17.30  0.80  4.42%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ZTO Express is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides ZTO Express buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ZTOA positions.
  
Check out ZTO Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in ZTO Stock please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ZTO and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute ZTO Express Buy or Sell Advice

The ZTO recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ZTO Express. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ZTO Express or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ZTO Express' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ZTO ExpressBuy ZTO Express
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon ZTO Express has a Mean Deviation of 1.87, Standard Deviation of 2.44 and Variance of 5.96
Our recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on ZTO Express and to analyze the firm potential to grow for the next few years. To make sure ZTO Express is not overpriced, please check out all ZTO Express fundamentals, including its revenue, ebitda, and the relationship between the price to sales and gross profit .

ZTO Express Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ZTO Express generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ZTO Express Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ZTO Express' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ZTO Express' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ZTO Express daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ZTO Express price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ZTO Express returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ZTO Express.
Mean Return
-0.11
Value At Risk
-4.24
Potential Upside
3.74
Standard Deviation
2.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ZTO Express historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ZTO Express Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ZTO Express or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ZTO Express' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ZTO stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.54
σ
Overall volatility
2.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

ZTO Express Volatility Alert

ZTO Express exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.48 and kurtosis of 0.75. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ZTO Express' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ZTO Express' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ZTO Express Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ZTO Express' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ZTO Express' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ZTO Express and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ZTO Express or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ZTO Express' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ZTO Express by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ZTO Express to competition
FundamentalsZTO ExpressPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0663-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation19.56 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding809.73 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.80 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions44.22 %39.21 %
Price To Earning19.43 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.85 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.59 X11.42 X
Revenue30.41 B9.43 B
Gross Profit6.59 B27.38 B
EBITDA5.87 B3.9 B
Net Income4.75 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.76 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.51 X5.01 X
Debt To Equity2.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.55 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share64.11 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.22 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.04 X3.12 X
Target Price34.81
Number Of Employees23.86 K18.84 K
Beta-0.0171-0.15
Market Capitalization18.58 B19.03 B
Total Asset62.77 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset62.77 B

ZTO Express Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ZTO . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ZTO Express Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ZTO Express? Buying financial instruments such as ZTO Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ZTO Express in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Buywrite ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Buywrite ETFs theme has 25 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Buywrite ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ZTO Stock

When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock:
Check out ZTO Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in ZTO Stock please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.