ALM ES (Germany) Volatility
| 0P0001NBQF | 130.93 0.45 0.34% |
As of now, ALM Fund is very steady. ALM ES Actions secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0147, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0147 % return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for ALM ES Actions, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm ALM ES's Mean Deviation of 0.5016, semi deviation of 0.6267, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0203 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0092%.
ALM |
ALM ES Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ALM daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ALM's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ALM ES volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with ALM ES. They may decide to buy additional shares of ALM ES at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.
Moving together with ALM Fund
| 0.68 | 0P00000PM8 | Renaissance Europe | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | 0P0000OQRJ | Echiquier Major SRI | PairCorr |
ALM ES Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
ALM ES's beta coefficient measures the volatility of ALM fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ALM fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, ALM ES's beta of -0.0095 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ALM ES fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. ALM ES Actions exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.04 and kurtosis of 0.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ALM ES's fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ALM ES's fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze ALM ES Actions Demand TrendCheck current 90 days ALM ES correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)ALM Beta |
ALM standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.63 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by ALM ES's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of ALM ES's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in alm fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in ALM ES.
ALM ES Actions Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which ALM ES fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ALM ES's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ALM ES's fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ALM ES's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of fund volatility measures ALM ES's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ALM ES's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the fund.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ALM ES's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ALM ES's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ALM ES Actions Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
ALM ES Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ALM ES Actions has a beta of -0.0095 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ALM ES are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ALM ES Actions is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ALM ES or Commodities Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ALM ES's price will be affected by overall fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ALM fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
ALM ES Actions has an alpha of 0.0095, implying that it can generate a 0.0095 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an ALM ES Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.ALM ES Fund Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of ALM ES is 6811.64. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.39 and standard deviation of 0.63. The mean deviation of ALM ES Actions is currently at 0.47. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.73
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0095 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
ALM ES Fund Return Volatility
ALM ES historical daily return volatility represents how much of ALM ES fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund accepts 0.6255% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7366% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
ALM ES Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.74 and is 1.17 times more volatile than ALM ES Actions. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than ALM ES. You can use ALM ES Actions to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The fund experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of ALM ES to be traded at 137.48 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between ALM ES Actions and DJI is -0.01 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ALM ES Actions and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
ALM ES Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of ALM ES's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ALM ES's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ALM ES fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0203 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.99) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.5016 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6267 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.684 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 3458.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6728 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
ALM ES Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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| Ford vs. ALM ES |
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ALM ES as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ALM ES's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ALM ES's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ALM ES Actions.
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