Pampa Energa (Germany) Volatility
9PAA Stock | EUR 79.50 1.00 1.24% |
Pampa Energa appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Pampa Energa SA maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.37, which implies the firm had a 0.37% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Pampa Energa's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.9% is justified by implied risk. Please evaluate Pampa Energa's Semi Deviation of 1.06, risk adjusted performance of 0.2939, and Coefficient Of Variation of 266.26 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Pampa Energa's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Pampa Energa Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Pampa daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Pampa's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Pampa Energa volatility.
Pampa |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Pampa Energa can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Pampa Energa at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Pampa Energa's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving together with Pampa Stock
0.94 | ENR0 | SIEMENS ENERGY AG | PairCorr |
0.95 | ENR | Siemens Energy AG | PairCorr |
0.88 | 0V6 | Vistra Corp | PairCorr |
0.77 | TZ1 | TransAlta | PairCorr |
Moving against Pampa Stock
0.86 | HX1A | HEXINDO ADIPERKASA | PairCorr |
0.62 | I41 | INDIKA ENERGY | PairCorr |
0.41 | CYZB | CN YANGTPWR GDR | PairCorr |
0.4 | HX1A | HEXINDO ADIPERKASA | PairCorr |
Pampa Energa Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Pampa Energa's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Pampa stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Pampa stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Pampa Energa's beta of 0.76 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Pampa Energa stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Pampa Energa SA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.32 and Jensen Alpha of 0.81. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pampa Energa's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pampa Energa's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Pampa Energa SA Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Pampa Energa correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Pampa Beta |
Pampa standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.43 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Pampa Energa's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Pampa Energa's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in pampa stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Pampa Energa.
Pampa Energa SA Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Pampa Energa stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Pampa Energa's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Pampa Energa's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Pampa Energa's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Pampa Energa's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Pampa Energa's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Pampa Energa's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Pampa Energa's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Pampa Energa SA Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Pampa Energa Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pampa Energa has a beta of 0.7598 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Pampa Energa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pampa Energa SA will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pampa Energa or Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pampa Energa's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pampa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Pampa Energa SA has an alpha of 0.805, implying that it can generate a 0.81 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Pampa Energa Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Pampa Energa Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Pampa Energa is 269.68. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 5.89 and standard deviation of 2.43. The mean deviation of Pampa Energa SA is currently at 1.91. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.32 |
Pampa Energa Stock Return Volatility
Pampa Energa historical daily return volatility represents how much of Pampa Energa stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company assumes 2.427% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7734% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Pampa Energa Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Pampa Energa or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Pampa Energa may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Pampa's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Pampa Energa and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Pampa Energa fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Pampa Energa S.A., an integrated power company, engages in the generation and transmission of electricity in Argentina. Pampa Energa S.A. was incorporated in 1945 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. PAMPA ENERGIA is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.
Pampa Energa's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Pampa Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Pampa Energa's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Pampa Energa's volatility to invest better
Higher Pampa Energa's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Pampa Energa SA stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Pampa Energa SA stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Pampa Energa SA investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Pampa Energa's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Pampa Energa's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Pampa Energa Investment Opportunity
Pampa Energa SA has a volatility of 2.43 and is 3.16 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Pampa Energa SA is lower than 21 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Pampa Energa SA to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Pampa Energa to be traded at 77.11 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between Pampa Energa SA and DJI is 0.24 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Pampa Energa SA and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Pampa Energa Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pampa Energa's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pampa Energa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Pampa Energa stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2939 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.19 | |||
Mean Deviation | 1.91 | |||
Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
Downside Deviation | 2.18 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 266.26 | |||
Standard Deviation | 2.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pampa Energa Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Pampa Energa as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Pampa Energa's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Pampa Energa's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Pampa Energa SA.
Complementary Tools for Pampa Stock analysis
When running Pampa Energa's price analysis, check to measure Pampa Energa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pampa Energa is operating at the current time. Most of Pampa Energa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pampa Energa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pampa Energa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pampa Energa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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