Commerce Resources Corp Stock Volatility
| CMRZF Stock | USD 0.05 0.01 16.67% |
Commerce Resources Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0131, which signifies that the company had a -0.0131% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Commerce Resources Corp exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Commerce Resources' Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.0005), standard deviation of 10.66, and Mean Deviation of 6.45 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Commerce Resources' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Commerce Resources OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Commerce daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Commerce's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Commerce Resources volatility.
Commerce |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Commerce Resources can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Commerce Resources at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Commerce Resources' stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Commerce OTC Stock
| 0.74 | AHT | Ashford Hospitality Trust | PairCorr |
| 0.58 | CHKEL | Chesapeake Energy Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | MAPSW | WM Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | CHKEZ | Chesapeake Energy Symbol Change | PairCorr |
Commerce Resources Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Commerce Resources' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Commerce otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Commerce otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Commerce Resources's beta of -0.19 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Commerce Resources otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Commerce Resources Corp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Commerce Resources Corp is a penny stock. Although Commerce Resources may be in fact a good investment, many penny otc stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Commerce Resources Corp. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Commerce instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny otcs that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Commerce Resources Corp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Commerce Resources correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Commerce Beta |
Commerce standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 10.91 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Commerce Resources's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Commerce Resources' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in commerce otc stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Commerce Resources.
Commerce Resources Corp OTC Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Commerce Resources otc price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Commerce Resources' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Commerce Resources' otc stock to predict their future moves. A otc that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A otc stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile otc is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Commerce Resources' volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of otc volatility measures Commerce Resources' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Commerce Resources' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the otc stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Commerce Resources' current market price. This means that the otc will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Commerce Resources' to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Commerce Resources Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Commerce Resources Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Commerce Resources Corp has a beta of -0.1915 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Commerce Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Commerce Resources Corp is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Commerce Resources or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Commerce Resources' price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Commerce otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Commerce Resources Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Commerce Resources Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a otc's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Commerce Resources OTC Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Commerce Resources is -7613.95. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 119.11 and standard deviation of 10.91. The mean deviation of Commerce Resources Corp is currently at 6.76. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Commerce Resources OTC Stock Return Volatility
Commerce Resources historical daily return volatility represents how much of Commerce Resources otc's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 10.9139% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7716% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Commerce Resources Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Commerce Resources or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Commerce Resources may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Commerce's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Commerce Resources and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Commerce Resources fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Commerce Resources Corp. acquires, explores, develops, and evaluates mineral resource properties in Canada. Commerce Resources Corp. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Commerce Res operates under Other Industrial Metals Mining classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.
Commerce Resources' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Commerce OTC Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Commerce Resources' price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Commerce Resources' volatility to invest better
Higher Commerce Resources' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Commerce Resources Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Commerce Resources Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Commerce Resources Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Commerce Resources' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Commerce Resources' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Commerce Resources Investment Opportunity
Commerce Resources Corp has a volatility of 10.91 and is 14.17 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Commerce Resources Corp is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Commerce Resources Corp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The otc stock experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Commerce Resources to be traded at $0.0475 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Commerce Resources Corp and DJI is -0.01 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerce Resources Corp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Commerce Resources Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Commerce Resources' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Commerce Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Commerce Resources otc stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.0005) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7767 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 6.45 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (7,790) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.66 | |||
| Variance | 113.62 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential otc stocks, we recommend comparing similar otcs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Commerce Resources Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Commerce Resources as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Commerce Resources' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Commerce Resources' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Commerce Resources Corp.
Complementary Tools for Commerce OTC Stock analysis
When running Commerce Resources' price analysis, check to measure Commerce Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commerce Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Commerce Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commerce Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commerce Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commerce Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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