First National Energy Stock Volatility
FNEC Stock | USD 0.09 0.04 92.36% |
At this point, First National is out of control. First National Energy secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0028, which denotes the company had a 0.0028% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for First National Energy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm First National's Standard Deviation of 16.28, variance of 265.15, and Mean Deviation of 3.08 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0472%. Key indicators related to First National's volatility include:
540 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 540 Days Economic Sensitivity |
First National Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of First daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use First's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of First National volatility.
First |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as First National can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of First National at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of First National's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
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Moving against First Pink Sheet
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First National Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
First National's beta coefficient measures the volatility of First pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents First pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, First National's beta of 0.0637 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk First National pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. First National Energy is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. First National Energy is a penny stock. Although First National may be in fact a good investment, many penny pink sheets are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in First National Energy. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on First instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze First National Energy Demand TrendCheck current 90 days First National correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)First Beta |
First standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 16.67 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by First National's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of First National's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in first pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in First National.
First National Energy Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which First National pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with First National's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of First National's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of First National's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures First National's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict First National's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for First National's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on First National's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. First National Energy Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
First National Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First National has a beta of 0.0637 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First National average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First National Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First National or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First National's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
First National Energy has an alpha of 0.0277, implying that it can generate a 0.0277 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a First National Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.First National Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of First National is 35304.41. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 277.98 and standard deviation of 16.67. The mean deviation of First National Energy is currently at 3.22. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 16.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0049 |
First National Pink Sheet Return Volatility
First National historical daily return volatility represents how much of First National pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 16.6726% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About First National Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of First National or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of First National may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to First's beta indicator, it measures the risk of First National and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of First National fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.First National Energy Corporation focuses on providing wind-driven solutions for power generation. First National Energy Corporation was founded in 2000 and is based in Georgetown, Canada. First National is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.
First National's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on First Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much First National's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize First National's volatility to invest better
Higher First National's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of First National Energy stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. First National Energy stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of First National Energy investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in First National's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of First National's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
First National Investment Opportunity
First National Energy has a volatility of 16.67 and is 22.53 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 96 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than First National. You can use First National Energy to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. The trend is possibly hyped up. Check odds of First National to be traded at $0.1133 in 90 days.First National Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of First National's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of First National pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0117 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5607 | |||
Mean Deviation | 3.08 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 36122.41 | |||
Standard Deviation | 16.28 | |||
Variance | 265.15 | |||
Information Ratio | (0) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
First National Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against First National as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. First National's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, First National's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to First National Energy.
Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis
When running First National's price analysis, check to measure First National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First National is operating at the current time. Most of First National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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