Imperial Brands Plc Stock Volatility

IMBBY Stock  USD 31.76  0.15  0.47%   
At this stage we consider Imperial OTC Stock to be very steady. Imperial Brands PLC holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.16, which attests that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Imperial Brands PLC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Imperial Brands' Downside Deviation of 0.9671, market risk adjusted performance of 0.7677, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1344 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. Key indicators related to Imperial Brands' volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
360 Days Economic Sensitivity
Imperial Brands OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Imperial daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Imperial's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Imperial Brands volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Imperial Brands' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Imperial Brands' managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Imperial Brands can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Imperial Brands at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Imperial stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Imperial Brands' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Imperial Brands Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Imperial Brands' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Imperial otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Imperial otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Imperial Brands's beta of 0.25 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Imperial Brands otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Imperial Brands PLC has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.76, Maximum Drawdown of 7.84 and kurtosis of 2.99. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Imperial Brands' otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Imperial Brands' otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Imperial Brands PLC Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Imperial Brands correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Imperial Beta

    
  0.25  
Imperial standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.18  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Imperial Brands's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Imperial Brands' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in imperial otc stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Imperial Brands.

Imperial Brands PLC OTC Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Imperial Brands otc price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Imperial Brands' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Imperial Brands' otc stock to predict their future moves. A otc that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A otc stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile otc is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Imperial Brands' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of otc volatility measures Imperial Brands' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Imperial Brands' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the otc stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Imperial Brands' current market price. This means that the otc will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Imperial Brands' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Imperial Brands PLC Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Imperial Brands Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Imperial Brands has a beta of 0.2546 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Imperial Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Imperial Brands PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Imperial Brands or Tobacco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Imperial Brands' price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Imperial otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Imperial Brands PLC has an alpha of 0.1622, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Imperial Brands' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how imperial otc stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Imperial Brands Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a otc's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Imperial Brands OTC Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Imperial Brands is 624.39. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.4 and standard deviation of 1.18. The mean deviation of Imperial Brands PLC is currently at 0.84. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Imperial Brands OTC Stock Return Volatility

Imperial Brands historical daily return volatility represents how much of Imperial Brands otc's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 1.1823% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7626% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Imperial Brands Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Imperial Brands or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Imperial Brands may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Imperial's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Imperial Brands and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Imperial Brands fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Imperial Brands PLC, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, imports, markets, and sells tobacco and tobacco-related products in Europe, Americas, Africa, Asia, and Australasia. Imperial Brands PLC was founded in 1901 and is based in Bristol, the United Kingdom. IMPERIAL BRANDS is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.
Imperial Brands' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Imperial OTC Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Imperial Brands' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Imperial Brands' volatility to invest better

Higher Imperial Brands' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Imperial Brands PLC stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Imperial Brands PLC stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Imperial Brands PLC investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Imperial Brands' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Imperial Brands' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Imperial Brands Investment Opportunity

Imperial Brands PLC has a volatility of 1.18 and is 1.55 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 10 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Imperial Brands. You can use Imperial Brands PLC to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The otc stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Imperial Brands to be traded at $33.35 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between Imperial Brands PLC and DJI is 0.16 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Imperial Brands PLC and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Imperial Brands Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Imperial Brands' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Imperial Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Imperial Brands otc stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential otc stocks, we recommend comparing similar otcs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Imperial Brands Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Imperial Brands as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Imperial Brands' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Imperial Brands' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Imperial Brands PLC.

Additional Tools for Imperial OTC Stock Analysis

When running Imperial Brands' price analysis, check to measure Imperial Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Imperial Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Imperial Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Imperial Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Imperial Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Imperial Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.