PT Jhonlin (Indonesia) Volatility
| JARR Stock | 282.00 10.00 3.42% |
PT Jhonlin appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. PT Jhonlin Agro retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.067, which implies the firm had a 0.067% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for PT Jhonlin, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate PT Jhonlin's standard deviation of 5.12, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.38 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to PT Jhonlin's volatility include:
570 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 570 Days Economic Sensitivity |
PT Jhonlin Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of JARR daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use JARR's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of PT Jhonlin volatility.
JARR |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of PT Jhonlin at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase JARR stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with JARR Stock
| 0.71 | TAPG | Triputra Agro Persada | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | STAA | Sumber Tani Agung | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | TLDN | Teladan Prima Agro | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | TBLA | Tunas Baru Lampung | PairCorr |
Moving against JARR Stock
| 0.47 | CBUT | Citra Borneo Utama | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | BBRI | Bank Rakyat Indonesia | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | BNLI | Bank Permata Tbk | PairCorr |
PT Jhonlin Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
PT Jhonlin's beta coefficient measures the volatility of JARR stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents JARR stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, PT Jhonlin's beta of 0.22 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk PT Jhonlin stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. PT Jhonlin Agro exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PT Jhonlin's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PT Jhonlin's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze PT Jhonlin Agro Demand TrendCheck current 90 days PT Jhonlin correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)JARR Beta |
JARR standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 5.2 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by PT Jhonlin's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of PT Jhonlin's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in jarr stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in PT Jhonlin.
PT Jhonlin Agro Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which PT Jhonlin stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with PT Jhonlin's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of PT Jhonlin's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of PT Jhonlin's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures PT Jhonlin's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict PT Jhonlin's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for PT Jhonlin's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on PT Jhonlin's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. PT Jhonlin Agro Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
PT Jhonlin Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Jhonlin has a beta of 0.2211 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, PT Jhonlin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PT Jhonlin Agro will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PT Jhonlin or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PT Jhonlin's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a JARR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
PT Jhonlin Agro has an alpha of 0.2767, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a PT Jhonlin Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.PT Jhonlin Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of PT Jhonlin is 1492.59. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 27.01 and standard deviation of 5.2. The mean deviation of PT Jhonlin Agro is currently at 3.02. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
PT Jhonlin Stock Return Volatility
PT Jhonlin historical daily return volatility represents how much of PT Jhonlin stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 5.1971% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About PT Jhonlin Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of PT Jhonlin or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of PT Jhonlin may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to JARR's beta indicator, it measures the risk of PT Jhonlin and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of PT Jhonlin fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize PT Jhonlin's volatility to invest better
Higher PT Jhonlin's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of PT Jhonlin Agro stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. PT Jhonlin Agro stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of PT Jhonlin Agro investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in PT Jhonlin's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of PT Jhonlin's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
PT Jhonlin Investment Opportunity
PT Jhonlin Agro has a volatility of 5.2 and is 6.75 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 46 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than PT Jhonlin. You can use PT Jhonlin Agro to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of PT Jhonlin to be traded at 270.72 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between PT Jhonlin Agro and DJI is 0.03 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PT Jhonlin Agro and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
PT Jhonlin Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of PT Jhonlin's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT Jhonlin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of PT Jhonlin stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0554 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.38 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.21 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.99 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1634.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
PT Jhonlin Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against PT Jhonlin as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. PT Jhonlin's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, PT Jhonlin's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to PT Jhonlin Agro.
Other Information on Investing in JARR Stock
PT Jhonlin financial ratios help investors to determine whether JARR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JARR with respect to the benefits of owning PT Jhonlin security.