Kentucky Tax Free Income Fund Volatility

KYTFX Fund  USD 7.23  0.02  0.28%   
At this stage we consider Kentucky Mutual Fund to be very steady. Kentucky Tax Free has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0198, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0198% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Kentucky Tax-free, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Kentucky Tax-free's Downside Deviation of 0.448, mean deviation of 0.1158, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0046%. Key indicators related to Kentucky Tax-free's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Kentucky Tax-free Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Kentucky daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Kentucky's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Kentucky Tax-free volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Kentucky Tax-free. They may decide to buy additional shares of Kentucky Tax-free at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with Kentucky Mutual Fund

  0.89NTFIX North Carolina TaxPairCorr
  0.92KYSMX Kentucky Tax FreePairCorr
  0.91NTSMX North Carolina TaxPairCorr
  0.86TNTIX Tennessee Tax FreePairCorr
  0.87DUALX Alabama Tax FreePairCorr
  0.9DUMSX Mississippi Tax FreePairCorr
  0.61DUTMX Taxable Municipal BondPairCorr

Moving against Kentucky Mutual Fund

  0.41ORFFX Aquila Tax FreePairCorr

Kentucky Tax-free Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Kentucky Tax-free's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Kentucky mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Kentucky mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Kentucky Tax-free's beta of 0.0401 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Kentucky Tax-free mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Kentucky Tax Free Income exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.54 and kurtosis of 6.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kentucky Tax-free's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kentucky Tax-free's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Kentucky Tax Free Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Kentucky Tax-free correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Kentucky Beta

    
  0.0401  
Kentucky standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.23  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Kentucky Tax-free's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Kentucky Tax-free's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in kentucky mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Kentucky Tax-free.

Kentucky Tax Free Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Kentucky Tax-free fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Kentucky Tax-free's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Kentucky Tax-free's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Kentucky Tax-free's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Kentucky Tax-free's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Kentucky Tax-free's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Kentucky Tax-free's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Kentucky Tax-free's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Kentucky Tax Free Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Kentucky Tax-free Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Kentucky Tax-free has a beta of 0.0401 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kentucky Tax-free average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kentucky Tax Free Income will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kentucky Tax-free or Dupree sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kentucky Tax-free's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kentucky fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Kentucky Tax Free Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Kentucky Tax-free's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how kentucky mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Kentucky Tax-free Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Kentucky Tax-free Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Kentucky Tax-free is 5053.96. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.05 and standard deviation of 0.23. The mean deviation of Kentucky Tax Free Income is currently at 0.13. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.56

Kentucky Tax-free Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Kentucky Tax-free historical daily return volatility represents how much of Kentucky Tax-free fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.2322% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7736% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Kentucky Tax-free Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Kentucky Tax-free or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Kentucky Tax-free may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Kentucky's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Kentucky Tax-free and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Kentucky Tax-free fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund seeks to provide a steady flow of tax-exempt income derived from Kentucky municipal securities of investment grade quality with a weighted average nominal maturity normally greater than 10 years. The interest earned on these securities, in the opinion of bond counsel for the issuer, is exempt from federal and state taxation in the state of Kentucky.
Kentucky Tax-free's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Kentucky Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Kentucky Tax-free's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Kentucky Tax-free's volatility to invest better

Higher Kentucky Tax-free's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Kentucky Tax Free fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Kentucky Tax Free fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Kentucky Tax Free investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Kentucky Tax-free's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Kentucky Tax-free's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Kentucky Tax-free Investment Opportunity

Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.77 and is 3.35 times more volatile than Kentucky Tax Free Income. 2 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Kentucky Tax-free. You can use Kentucky Tax Free Income to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Kentucky Tax-free to be traded at $7.16 in 90 days.

Average diversification

The correlation between Kentucky Tax Free Income and DJI is 0.14 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Kentucky Tax Free Income and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Kentucky Tax-free Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kentucky Tax-free's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kentucky Tax-free's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Kentucky Tax-free mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Kentucky Tax-free Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Kentucky Tax-free as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Kentucky Tax-free's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Kentucky Tax-free's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Kentucky Tax Free Income.

Other Information on Investing in Kentucky Mutual Fund

Kentucky Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kentucky Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kentucky with respect to the benefits of owning Kentucky Tax-free security.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments