Lekoil (Germany) Volatility

L5K Stock  EUR 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Lekoil Limited has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0048, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0048% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lekoil exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lekoil's Standard Deviation of 6.93, risk adjusted performance of 0.0052, and Mean Deviation of 2.26 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Lekoil's volatility include:
360 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
360 Days Economic Sensitivity
Lekoil Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Lekoil daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Lekoil's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Lekoil volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Lekoil can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Lekoil at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Lekoil's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.

Moving against Lekoil Stock

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Lekoil Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Lekoil's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Lekoil stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Lekoil stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Lekoil's beta of -2.52 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Lekoil stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Lekoil Limited is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Lekoil Limited is a penny stock. Although Lekoil may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Lekoil Limited. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Lekoil instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Lekoil Limited Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Lekoil correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Lekoil Beta

    
  -2.52  
Lekoil standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  6.93  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Lekoil's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Lekoil's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in lekoil stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Lekoil.

Lekoil Limited Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Lekoil stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Lekoil's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Lekoil's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Lekoil's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Lekoil's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Lekoil's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Lekoil's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Lekoil's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Lekoil Limited Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Lekoil Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Lekoil Limited has a beta of -2.5192 . This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Lekoil Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Lekoil is expected to outperform its benchmark.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lekoil or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lekoil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lekoil stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Lekoil Limited has an alpha of 0.2614, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Lekoil's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how lekoil stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Lekoil Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Lekoil Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Lekoil is -21044.99. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 47.97 and standard deviation of 6.93. The mean deviation of Lekoil Limited is currently at 2.26. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.52
σ
Overall volatility
6.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Lekoil Stock Return Volatility

Lekoil historical daily return volatility represents how much of Lekoil stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 6.9257% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7626% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Lekoil Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Lekoil or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Lekoil may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Lekoil's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Lekoil and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Lekoil fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Lekoil Limited explores for, develops, and produces petroleum oil and natural gas in Nigeria, Namibia, Cayman, and internationally. The company was founded in 2010 and is based in Lagos, Nigeria. LEKOIL LTD is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.
Lekoil's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Lekoil Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Lekoil's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Lekoil's volatility to invest better

Higher Lekoil's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Lekoil Limited stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Lekoil Limited stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Lekoil Limited investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Lekoil's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Lekoil's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Lekoil Investment Opportunity

Lekoil Limited has a volatility of 6.93 and is 9.12 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Lekoil Limited is higher than 61 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Lekoil Limited to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . Check odds of Lekoil to be traded at €0.0104 in 90 days.

Very good diversification

The correlation between Lekoil Limited and DJI is -0.28 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Lekoil Limited and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Lekoil Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lekoil's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lekoil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Lekoil stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Lekoil Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Lekoil as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Lekoil's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Lekoil's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Lekoil Limited.

Complementary Tools for Lekoil Stock analysis

When running Lekoil's price analysis, check to measure Lekoil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lekoil is operating at the current time. Most of Lekoil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lekoil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lekoil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lekoil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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