Loncor Gold Volatility
| LONCFDelisted Stock | USD 0.26 0.00 0.00% |
We have found twenty-five technical indicators for Loncor Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Loncor Gold's Mean Deviation of 2.59, downside deviation of 10.42, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0165 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0%. Key indicators related to Loncor Gold's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Loncor Gold OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Loncor daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Loncor's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Loncor Gold volatility.
Loncor |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Loncor Gold can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Loncor Gold at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Loncor Gold's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Loncor OTC Stock
Loncor Gold Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Loncor Gold's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Loncor otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Loncor otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Loncor Gold's beta of -0.35 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Loncor Gold otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Loncor Gold is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Loncor Gold is a potential penny stock. Although Loncor Gold may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny otc stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Loncor Gold. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Loncor instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny otcs that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Loncor Gold Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Loncor Gold correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Loncor Beta |
Loncor standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.0 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Loncor Gold's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Loncor Gold's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in loncor otc stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Loncor Gold.
Loncor Gold OTC Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Loncor Gold otc price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Loncor Gold's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Loncor Gold's otc stock to predict their future moves. A otc that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A otc stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile otc is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Loncor Gold's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of otc volatility measures Loncor Gold's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Loncor Gold's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the otc stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Loncor Gold's current market price. This means that the otc will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Loncor Gold's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
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Loncor Gold Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Loncor Gold has a beta of -0.3455 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Loncor Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Loncor Gold is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Loncor Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Loncor Gold's price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Loncor otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Loncor Gold has an alpha of 0.0937, implying that it can generate a 0.0937 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Loncor Gold Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a otc's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Loncor Gold OTC Stock Return Volatility
Loncor Gold historical daily return volatility represents how much of Loncor Gold otc's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7626% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Loncor Gold Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Loncor Gold or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Loncor Gold may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Loncor's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Loncor Gold and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Loncor Gold fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Loncor Gold Inc., a gold exploration company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of precious metal projects in the Ngayu greenstone belt in the northeast of the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The company was formerly known as Loncor Resources Inc. and changed its name to Loncor Gold Inc. in June 2021. Loncor Gold operates under Gold classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 29 people.
Loncor Gold's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Loncor OTC Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Loncor Gold's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Loncor Gold's volatility to invest better
Higher Loncor Gold's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Loncor Gold stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Loncor Gold stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Loncor Gold investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Loncor Gold's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Loncor Gold's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Loncor Gold Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.76 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than Loncor Gold. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Loncor Gold is lower than 0 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Loncor Gold to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The otc stock experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Loncor Gold to be traded at $0.2574 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Loncor Gold and DJI is -0.04 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Loncor Gold and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Loncor Gold Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Loncor Gold's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Loncor Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Loncor Gold otc stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0165 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.14) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 10.42 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 9909.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential otc stocks, we recommend comparing similar otcs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Loncor Gold Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Loncor Gold as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Loncor Gold's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Loncor Gold's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Loncor Gold.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. Note that the Loncor Gold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Loncor Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Loncor OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Loncor Gold check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Loncor Gold's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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