Mountain Commerce Bancorp Stock Volatility
MCBI Stock | USD 21.50 0.30 1.42% |
Mountain Commerce is very steady at the moment. Mountain Commerce Bancorp has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mountain Commerce, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Mountain Commerce's Mean Deviation of 0.3825, downside deviation of 1.17, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1137 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.087%. Key indicators related to Mountain Commerce's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Mountain Commerce OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Mountain daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Mountain's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Mountain Commerce volatility.
Mountain |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Mountain Commerce at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Mountain stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving against Mountain OTC Stock
0.72 | BNPQY | BNP Paribas SA | PairCorr |
0.71 | BNPQF | BNP Paribas SA | PairCorr |
0.64 | VWAGY | Volkswagen AG 110 | PairCorr |
0.59 | VLKPF | Volkswagen AG VZO | PairCorr |
0.58 | VLKAF | Volkswagen AG | PairCorr |
0.58 | VWAPY | Volkswagen AG Pref | PairCorr |
0.58 | DPSTF | Deutsche Post AG | PairCorr |
0.54 | HNHPF | Hon Hai Precision | PairCorr |
0.46 | BBDC4 | Banco Bradesco SA | PairCorr |
Mountain Commerce Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Mountain Commerce's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Mountain otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Mountain otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Mountain Commerce's beta of -0.0858 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Mountain Commerce otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Mountain Commerce Bancorp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.5 and kurtosis of 1.71. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mountain Commerce's otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mountain Commerce's otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Mountain Commerce Bancorp Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Mountain Commerce correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Mountain Beta |
Mountain standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.65 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Mountain Commerce's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Mountain Commerce's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in mountain otc stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Mountain Commerce.
Mountain Commerce Bancorp OTC Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Mountain Commerce otc price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Mountain Commerce's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Mountain Commerce's otc stock to predict their future moves. A otc that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A otc stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile otc is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Mountain Commerce's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of otc volatility measures Mountain Commerce's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Mountain Commerce's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the otc stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Mountain Commerce's current market price. This means that the otc will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Mountain Commerce's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Mountain Commerce Bancorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Mountain Commerce Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mountain Commerce Bancorp has a beta of -0.0858 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mountain Commerce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mountain Commerce Bancorp is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mountain Commerce or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mountain Commerce's price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mountain otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Mountain Commerce Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0821, implying that it can generate a 0.0821 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a Mountain Commerce Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a otc's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Mountain Commerce OTC Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Mountain Commerce is 749.02. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.42 and standard deviation of 0.65. The mean deviation of Mountain Commerce Bancorp is currently at 0.39. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.85
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Mountain Commerce OTC Stock Return Volatility
Mountain Commerce historical daily return volatility represents how much of Mountain Commerce otc's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 0.6515% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8662% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About Mountain Commerce Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Mountain Commerce or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Mountain Commerce may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Mountain's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Mountain Commerce and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Mountain Commerce fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Mountain Commerce Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for Mountain Commerce Bank that provides banking services for small- and medium-sized businesses, professionals, and affluent individuals. The company was founded in 1910 and is based in Knoxville, Tennessee. MOUNTAIN COMM operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 113 people.
Mountain Commerce's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Mountain OTC Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Mountain Commerce's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Mountain Commerce's volatility to invest better
Higher Mountain Commerce's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Mountain Commerce Bancorp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Mountain Commerce Bancorp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Mountain Commerce Bancorp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Mountain Commerce's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Mountain Commerce's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Mountain Commerce Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.87 and is 1.34 times more volatile than Mountain Commerce Bancorp. 5 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Mountain Commerce. You can use Mountain Commerce Bancorp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The otc stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Mountain Commerce to be traded at $23.65 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Mountain Commerce Bancorp and DJI is -0.1 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mountain Commerce Bancorp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Mountain Commerce Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mountain Commerce's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mountain Commerce's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Mountain Commerce otc stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1137 | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.91) | |||
Mean Deviation | 0.3825 | |||
Semi Deviation | 0.2924 | |||
Downside Deviation | 1.17 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | 727.62 | |||
Standard Deviation | 0.6461 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential otc stocks, we recommend comparing similar otcs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Mountain Commerce Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Mountain Commerce as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Mountain Commerce's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Mountain Commerce's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Mountain Commerce Bancorp.
Complementary Tools for Mountain OTC Stock analysis
When running Mountain Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Mountain Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mountain Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Mountain Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mountain Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mountain Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mountain Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. |