OrangePL (Poland) Volatility
| OPL Stock | 7.68 0.08 1.03% |
OrangePL maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.13, which implies the firm had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. OrangePL exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check OrangePL's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), variance of 1.76, and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,338) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
OrangePL |
OrangePL Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of OrangePL daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use OrangePL's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of OrangePL volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as OrangePL can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of OrangePL at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase OrangePL stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of OrangePL's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with OrangePL Stock
Moving against OrangePL Stock
| 0.85 | CEZ | CEZ as | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | UCG | UniCredit SpA | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | DNP | Dino Polska SA | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | SAN | Banco Santander SA | PairCorr |
OrangePL Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
OrangePL's beta coefficient measures the volatility of OrangePL stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents OrangePL stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, OrangePL's beta of 0.25 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk OrangePL stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. OrangePL exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.34 and kurtosis of 0.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure OrangePL's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact OrangePL's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze OrangePL Demand TrendCheck current 90 days OrangePL correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)OrangePL Beta |
OrangePL standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.3 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by OrangePL's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of OrangePL's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in orangepl stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in OrangePL.
OrangePL Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which OrangePL stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with OrangePL's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of OrangePL's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of OrangePL's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures OrangePL's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict OrangePL's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for OrangePL's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on OrangePL's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. OrangePL Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
OrangePL Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OrangePL has a beta of 0.2496 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, OrangePL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OrangePL will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to OrangePL or OrangePL sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that OrangePL's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a OrangePL stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
OrangePL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an OrangePL Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.OrangePL Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of OrangePL is -749.74. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.68 and standard deviation of 1.3. The mean deviation of OrangePL is currently at 1.01. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
OrangePL Stock Return Volatility
OrangePL historical daily return volatility represents how much of OrangePL stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise accepts 1.297% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7736% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
OrangePL Investment Opportunity
OrangePL has a volatility of 1.3 and is 1.69 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of OrangePL is lower than 11 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use OrangePL to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of OrangePL to be traded at 7.45 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between OrangePL and DJI is 0.14 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding OrangePL and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
OrangePL Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of OrangePL's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OrangePL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of OrangePL stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.43) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,338) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
OrangePL Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against OrangePL as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. OrangePL's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, OrangePL's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to OrangePL.
Additional Tools for OrangePL Stock Analysis
When running OrangePL's price analysis, check to measure OrangePL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OrangePL is operating at the current time. Most of OrangePL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OrangePL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OrangePL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OrangePL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.