TRANSILVANIA LEASING (Romania) Volatility
| TSLA Stock | 0.09 0 1.13% |
TRANSILVANIA LEASING retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0522, which indicates the firm had a -0.0522% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. TRANSILVANIA LEASING exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TRANSILVANIA LEASING's standard deviation of 2.59, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
TRANSILVANIA |
TRANSILVANIA LEASING Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of TRANSILVANIA daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use TRANSILVANIA's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of TRANSILVANIA LEASING volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as TRANSILVANIA LEASING can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of TRANSILVANIA LEASING at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase TRANSILVANIA stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of TRANSILVANIA LEASING's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
TRANSILVANIA LEASING Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
TRANSILVANIA LEASING's beta coefficient measures the volatility of TRANSILVANIA stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents TRANSILVANIA stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, TRANSILVANIA LEASING's beta of -0.45 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk TRANSILVANIA LEASING stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.33 and kurtosis of 5.82. TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI is a penny stock. Although TRANSILVANIA LEASING may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on TRANSILVANIA instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze TRANSILVANIA LEASING Demand TrendCheck current 90 days TRANSILVANIA LEASING correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)TRANSILVANIA Beta |
TRANSILVANIA standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.58 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by TRANSILVANIA LEASING's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of TRANSILVANIA LEASING's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in transilvania stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in TRANSILVANIA LEASING.
TRANSILVANIA LEASING Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which TRANSILVANIA LEASING stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with TRANSILVANIA LEASING's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of TRANSILVANIA LEASING's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of TRANSILVANIA LEASING's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures TRANSILVANIA LEASING's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict TRANSILVANIA LEASING's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for TRANSILVANIA LEASING's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on TRANSILVANIA LEASING's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. TRANSILVANIA LEASING Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
TRANSILVANIA LEASING Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI has a beta of -0.4501 . This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TRANSILVANIA LEASING are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TRANSILVANIA LEASING or Rentals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TRANSILVANIA LEASING's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TRANSILVANIA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a TRANSILVANIA LEASING Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.TRANSILVANIA LEASING Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of TRANSILVANIA LEASING is -1917.07. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.65 and standard deviation of 2.58. The mean deviation of TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI is currently at 1.32. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
TRANSILVANIA LEASING Stock Return Volatility
TRANSILVANIA LEASING historical daily return volatility represents how much of TRANSILVANIA LEASING stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.5782% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
TRANSILVANIA LEASING Investment Opportunity
TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI has a volatility of 2.58 and is 3.49 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 22 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than TRANSILVANIA LEASING. You can use TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of TRANSILVANIA LEASING to be traded at 0.0849 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI and DJI is -0.13 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
TRANSILVANIA LEASING Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of TRANSILVANIA LEASING's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TRANSILVANIA LEASING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of TRANSILVANIA LEASING stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1545 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (4,709) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Variance | 6.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
TRANSILVANIA LEASING Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against TRANSILVANIA LEASING as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. TRANSILVANIA LEASING's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, TRANSILVANIA LEASING's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to TRANSILVANIA LEASING SI.