Harley Davidson Earnings Estimate

HOG Stock  USD 20.09  0.42  2.05%   
The next projected EPS of Harley Davidson is estimated to be 0.975 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.73 to a high of 1.21. Harley Davidson's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 4.11. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Harley Davidson is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Harley Davidson is projected to generate 0.975 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Harley Davidson earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Harley Davidson EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Harley Davidson's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Harley Davidson, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Harley Davidson Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Harley Davidson's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Harley Davidson's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. At this time, Harley Davidson's Pretax Profit Margin is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Harley Davidson's current Operating Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.11, while Gross Profit is projected to decrease to roughly 1.5 B. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Harley Davidson. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For more detail on how to invest in Harley Stock please use our How to Invest in Harley Davidson guide.

Harley Davidson Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Harley Davidson's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Harley Davidson is estimated to be 0.975 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.73 to a high of 1.21. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Harley Davidson is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.73
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.975
1.21
Highest

Harley Davidson Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Harley Davidson's value are higher than the current market price of the Harley Davidson stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Harley Davidson is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Harley Davidson's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1570.72%
0.0
0.975
4.11

Harley Davidson Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Harley Davidson analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Harley Davidson's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we suggest analyzing not only Harley Davidson's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Harley Davidson Quarterly Gross Profit

283.11 Million

The Harley Davidson's current Retained Earnings Total Equity is estimated to increase to about 3.7 B, while Retained Earnings are projected to decrease to roughly 3.1 B. The Harley Davidson's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 188.9 M. The Harley Davidson's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 487.8 M.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3620.1721.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0823.9025.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5519.3721.18
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.1226.5029.42
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Harley assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Harley Davidson. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Harley Davidson's stock price in the short term.

Harley Davidson Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Harley Davidson refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Harley Davidson predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Harley Davidson, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Harley Davidson Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Harley Davidson, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Harley Davidson should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Harley Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Harley Davidson's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
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2025-10-23
2025-09-301.693.11.4183 
2025-07-30
2025-06-300.960.88-0.08
2025-05-01
2025-03-310.771.070.338 
2025-02-05
2024-12-31-0.66-0.93-0.2740 
2024-10-24
2024-09-300.810.910.112 
2024-07-25
2024-06-301.41.630.2316 
2024-04-25
2024-03-311.511.720.2113 
2024-02-08
2023-12-310.040.180.14350 
2023-10-26
2023-09-301.361.380.02
2023-07-27
2023-06-301.251.22-0.03
2023-04-27
2023-03-311.392.040.6546 
2023-02-02
2022-12-310.060.280.22366 
2022-10-26
2022-09-301.41.780.3827 
2022-07-28
2022-06-301.071.460.3936 
2022-04-27
2022-03-311.451.450.0
2022-02-08
2021-12-31-0.380.140.52136 
2021-10-27
2021-09-300.71.050.3550 
2021-07-21
2021-06-301.171.330.1613 
2021-04-19
2021-03-310.881.680.890 
2021-02-02
2020-12-310.14-0.63-0.77550 
2020-10-27
2020-09-300.210.780.57271 
2020-07-28
2020-06-300.04-0.6-0.641600 
2020-04-28
2020-03-310.440.450.01
2020-01-28
2019-12-310.090.090.0
2019-10-22
2019-09-300.520.550.03
2019-07-23
2019-06-301.21.230.03
2019-04-23
2019-03-310.650.80.1523 
2019-01-29
2018-12-310.280.11-0.1760 
2018-10-23
2018-09-300.530.780.2547 
2018-07-24
2018-06-301.351.450.1
2018-04-24
2018-03-310.931.030.110 
2018-01-30
2017-12-310.450.470.02
2017-10-17
2017-09-300.390.40.01
2017-07-18
2017-06-301.381.480.1
2017-04-18
2017-03-311.021.050.03
2017-01-31
2016-12-310.310.27-0.0412 
2016-10-18
2016-09-300.640.640.0
2016-07-28
2016-06-301.531.550.02
2016-04-19
2016-03-311.291.360.07
2016-01-28
2015-12-310.190.220.0315 
2015-10-20
2015-09-300.780.69-0.0911 
2015-07-21
2015-06-301.391.440.05
2015-04-21
2015-03-311.251.270.02
2015-01-29
2014-12-310.340.350.01
2014-10-21
2014-09-300.590.690.116 
2014-07-22
2014-06-301.461.620.1610 
2014-04-22
2014-03-311.081.210.1312 
2014-01-30
2013-12-310.340.340.0
2013-10-22
2013-09-300.730.730.0
2013-07-25
2013-06-301.181.210.03
2013-04-25
2013-03-310.990.990.0
2013-01-29
2012-12-310.320.31-0.01
2012-10-23
2012-09-300.580.590.01
2012-08-01
2012-06-301.051.070.02
2012-04-25
2012-03-310.720.740.02
2012-01-24
2011-12-310.230.240.01
2011-10-18
2011-09-300.760.780.02
2011-07-19
2011-06-300.710.810.114 
2011-04-19
2011-03-310.530.51-0.02
2011-01-25
2010-12-31-0.3-0.180.1240 
2010-10-19
2010-09-300.350.40.0514 
2010-07-20
2010-06-300.410.590.1843 
2010-04-20
2010-03-310.220.290.0731 
2010-01-22
2009-12-31-0.32-0.63-0.3196 
2009-10-15
2009-09-300.210.11-0.147 
2009-07-16
2009-06-300.240.08-0.1666 
2009-04-16
2009-03-310.50.50.0
2009-01-23
2008-12-310.570.34-0.2340 
2008-10-16
2008-09-300.790.71-0.0810 
2008-07-17
2008-06-300.760.950.1925 
2008-04-17
2008-03-310.770.790.02
2008-01-25
2007-12-310.820.78-0.04
2007-10-19
2007-09-301.051.070.02
2007-07-19
2007-06-301.131.140.01
2007-04-19
2007-03-310.720.740.02
2007-01-18
2006-12-310.960.970.01
2006-10-12
2006-09-301.11.20.1
2006-07-17
2006-06-300.910.910.0
2006-04-12
2006-03-310.860.860.0
2006-01-19
2005-12-310.810.840.03
2005-10-12
2005-09-300.90.960.06
2005-07-13
2005-06-300.790.840.05
2005-04-13
2005-03-310.760.770.01
2005-01-20
2004-12-310.690.710.02
2004-10-13
2004-09-300.750.770.02
2004-07-14
2004-06-300.750.830.0810 
2004-04-14
2004-03-310.640.680.04
2004-01-21
2003-12-310.580.60.02
2003-10-15
2003-09-300.560.620.0610 
2003-07-16
2003-06-300.580.660.0813 
2003-04-16
2003-03-310.50.610.1122 
2003-01-21
2002-12-310.470.490.02
2002-10-15
2002-09-300.460.540.0817 
2002-07-16
2002-06-300.440.470.03
2002-04-16
2002-03-310.360.390.03
2002-01-17
2001-12-310.370.390.02
2001-10-09
2001-09-300.330.360.03
2001-07-11
2001-06-300.350.380.03
2001-04-10
2001-03-310.290.30.01
2001-01-17
2000-12-310.290.310.02
2000-10-11
2000-09-300.260.270.01
2000-07-12
2000-06-300.270.290.02
2000-04-11
2000-03-310.230.240.01
2000-01-18
1999-12-310.230.240.01
1999-10-11
1999-09-300.210.210.0
1999-07-12
1999-06-300.210.220.01
1999-04-12
1999-03-310.180.20.0211 
1999-01-19
1998-12-310.180.20.0211 
1998-10-12
1998-09-300.170.170.0
1998-07-13
1998-06-300.180.180.0
1998-04-24
1998-03-310.150.14-0.01
1998-01-22
1997-12-310.140.140.0
1997-10-14
1997-09-300.130.140.01
1997-07-15
1997-06-300.160.160.0
1997-04-15
1997-03-310.120.130.01
1997-01-23
1996-12-310.120.120.0
1996-10-18
1996-09-300.110.110.0
1996-07-16
1996-06-300.130.130.0
1996-04-16
1996-03-310.10.110.0110 

About Harley Davidson Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Harley Davidson earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Harley Davidson estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Harley Davidson fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained EarningsB3.1 B
Retained Earnings Total Equity2.2 B3.7 B
Earnings Yield 0.13  0.08 
Price Earnings Ratio 7.83  7.44 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio(0.33)(0.35)

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Harley Davidson is a strong investment it is important to analyze Harley Davidson's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Harley Davidson's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Harley Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Harley Davidson. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For more detail on how to invest in Harley Stock please use our How to Invest in Harley Davidson guide.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Can Motorcycle Manufacturers industry sustain growth momentum? Does Harley have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. Market participants price Harley higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Harley Davidson demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.407
Dividend Share
0.713
Earnings Share
4.11
Revenue Per Share
37.903
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.165
Investors evaluate Harley Davidson using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Harley Davidson's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Harley Davidson's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harley Davidson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Harley Davidson's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.