Coronation Capital Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

0P0000IR6J   56.98  0.11  0.19%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coronation Capital Plus on the next trading day is expected to be 56.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.56. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Coronation Capital's fund prices and determine the direction of Coronation Capital Plus's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
Coronation Capital simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Coronation Capital Plus are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Coronation Capital Plus prices get older.

Coronation Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Coronation Capital Plus on the next trading day is expected to be 56.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coronation Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coronation Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Coronation Capital Fund Forecast Pattern

Coronation Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Coronation Capital's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coronation Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.55 and 57.41, respectively. We have considered Coronation Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
56.98
56.98
Expected Value
57.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coronation Capital fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coronation Capital fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.438
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0503
MADMean absolute deviation0.176
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0032
SAESum of the absolute errors10.56
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Coronation Capital Plus forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Coronation Capital observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Coronation Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coronation Capital Plus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Coronation Capital

For every potential investor in Coronation, whether a beginner or expert, Coronation Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coronation Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coronation. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coronation Capital's price trends.

Coronation Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coronation Capital fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coronation Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coronation Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Coronation Capital Plus Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Coronation Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Coronation Capital's current price.

Coronation Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coronation Capital fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coronation Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coronation Capital fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Coronation Capital Plus entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Coronation Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Coronation Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coronation Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coronation fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
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