Alior Bank Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 0QBM Stock | 79.50 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alior Bank SA on the next trading day is expected to be 79.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Alior Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Alior |
Alior Bank Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alior Bank SA on the next trading day is expected to be 79.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alior Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alior Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alior Bank Stock Forecast Pattern
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Alior Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alior Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alior Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 79.50 and 79.50, respectively. We have considered Alior Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alior Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alior Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Alior Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alior Bank SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Alior Bank
For every potential investor in Alior, whether a beginner or expert, Alior Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alior Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alior. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alior Bank's price trends.Alior Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alior Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alior Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alior Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alior Bank SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alior Bank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alior Bank's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Alior Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alior Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alior Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alior Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alior Bank SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.17 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 87.69 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 84.96 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 16.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (8.19) |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Alior Stock Analysis
When running Alior Bank's price analysis, check to measure Alior Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alior Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Alior Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alior Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alior Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alior Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.