Alm Brand Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| 1AM Stock | EUR 2.11 0.01 0.48% |
Alm Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Alm Brand's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Alm Brand's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.183 |
Using Alm Brand hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alm Brand AS from the perspective of Alm Brand response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alm Brand AS on the next trading day is expected to be 2.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23. Alm Brand after-hype prediction price | EUR 2.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alm |
Alm Brand Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Alm Brand 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Alm Brand AS on the next trading day is expected to be 2.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alm Brand's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Alm Brand Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alm Brand | Alm Brand Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Alm Brand Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Alm Brand's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alm Brand's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.84 and 3.46, respectively. We have considered Alm Brand's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alm Brand stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alm Brand stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 97.4909 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0136 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.042 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.2275 |
Predictive Modules for Alm Brand
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alm Brand AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alm Brand After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alm Brand at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alm Brand or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alm Brand, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alm Brand Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alm Brand's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alm Brand's historical news coverage. Alm Brand's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.80 and 3.42, respectively. We have considered Alm Brand's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alm Brand is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alm Brand AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alm Brand Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alm Brand is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alm Brand backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alm Brand, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 1.37 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.11 | 2.11 | 0.00 |
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Alm Brand Hype Timeline
Alm Brand AS is presently traded for 2.11on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.37. Alm is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alm Brand is about 14.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.74. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.8. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Alm Brand AS last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alm Brand to cross-verify your projections.Alm Brand Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alm Brand's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alm Brand's future price movements. Getting to know how Alm Brand's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alm Brand may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6FO | GOODTECH ASA A | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.26 | 0.05 | 2.67 | (2.53) | 10.85 | |
| CJ8A | CARGOJET INC VAR | 0.50 | 1 per month | 0.98 | 0.21 | 4.46 | (1.80) | 10.14 | |
| 7EL | Elis SA | (0.28) | 7 per month | 0.91 | 0.06 | 2.25 | (1.53) | 5.16 | |
| ESLC | ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON | (1.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.19 | (3.52) | 9.62 | |
| MLB1 | MercadoLibre | (81.40) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.76 | (5.06) | 20.86 | |
| GLE | Gladstone Commercial | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.55 | 0.03 | 3.22 | (2.82) | 8.65 | |
| 9MDA | MEITUAN UNSPADR2B | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.53 | (4.42) | 20.26 | |
| PP1 | Papa Johns International | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.78 | (3.50) | 7.67 | |
| 99Q | ENTREPARTICULIERS EO 10 | 0.10 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.75 | (15.00) | 50.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Alm Brand
For every potential investor in Alm, whether a beginner or expert, Alm Brand's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alm Brand's price trends.Alm Brand Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alm Brand stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alm Brand could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alm Brand by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alm Brand Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alm Brand stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alm Brand shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alm Brand stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alm Brand AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.11 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
Alm Brand Risk Indicators
The analysis of Alm Brand's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alm Brand's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9615 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alm Brand
The number of cover stories for Alm Brand depends on current market conditions and Alm Brand's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alm Brand is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alm Brand's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Alm Brand Short Properties
Alm Brand's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alm Brand's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alm Brand AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alm Brand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alm Brand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 864 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.08 | |
| Shares Float | 737.5 M |
Other Information on Investing in Alm Stock
Alm Brand financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alm Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alm with respect to the benefits of owning Alm Brand security.