Pandora A/S Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

3P7 Stock  EUR 73.60  3.08  4.37%   
Pandora Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Pandora A/S's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 21st of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Pandora A/S's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pandora A/S, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pandora A/S's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pandora A/S and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pandora A/S's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pandora AS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pandora A/S's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.025
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Pandora A/S hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pandora AS from the perspective of Pandora A/S response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pandora AS on the next trading day is expected to be 73.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 108.72.

Pandora A/S after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 69.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pandora A/S to cross-verify your projections.

Pandora A/S Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pandora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pandora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pandora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Pandora A/S simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Pandora AS are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Pandora A/S prices get older.

Pandora A/S Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pandora AS on the next trading day is expected to be 73.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.78, mean absolute percentage error of 6.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 108.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pandora Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pandora A/S's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pandora A/S Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pandora A/S  Pandora A/S Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Pandora A/S Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pandora A/S's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pandora A/S's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.36 and 76.84, respectively. We have considered Pandora A/S's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.60
73.60
Expected Value
76.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pandora A/S stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pandora A/S stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.9819
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4705
MADMean absolute deviation1.7823
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0226
SAESum of the absolute errors108.72
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Pandora AS forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Pandora A/S observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Pandora A/S

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pandora A/S. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.1369.3172.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.4064.5877.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
52.3271.6691.01
Details

Pandora A/S After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pandora A/S at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pandora A/S or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pandora A/S, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pandora A/S Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pandora A/S's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pandora A/S's historical news coverage. Pandora A/S's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.13 and 72.49, respectively. We have considered Pandora A/S's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
73.60
69.31
After-hype Price
72.49
Upside
Pandora A/S is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pandora A/S is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pandora A/S Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pandora A/S is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pandora A/S backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pandora A/S, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.46 
3.24
  1.05 
  0.16 
5 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
73.60
69.31
1.72 
142.11  
Notes

Pandora A/S Hype Timeline

Pandora A/S is presently traded for 73.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Pandora is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 69.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 142.11%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -1.72%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Pandora A/S is about 923.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.76. About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.09. Pandora A/S last dividend was issued on the 12th of March 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pandora A/S to cross-verify your projections.

Pandora A/S Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pandora A/S's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pandora A/S's future price movements. Getting to know how Pandora A/S's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pandora A/S may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PQ90BK MANDIRI ADR20 0.00 0 per month 3.95  0.04  11.49 (9.09) 42.92 
PQ9PT Bank Mandiri 0.04 1 per month 5.73  0.04  17.39 (14.29) 40.26 
BYRAPT Bank Rakyat(0.01)1 per month 4.07  0.03  11.11 (10.00) 26.67 
6GAAGrupo Aval Acciones(0.02)2 per month 2.25 (0.02) 5.31 (4.10) 20.33 
KSF1SHINHAN FINL ADR1 0.00 0 per month 1.89  0.11  5.33 (3.37) 11.07 
KBIAKB Financial Group(0.50)9 per month 1.69  0.10  4.81 (3.45) 11.24 
2WGAWOORI FIN GRP 2.80 3 per month 2.06  0.17  5.88 (2.92) 19.36 
LFL0LATAM Airlines Group(0.60)4 per month 2.39  0.12  4.21 (4.55) 13.43 
BSABanco Santander Chile 1.40 8 per month 2.82  0.06  4.38 (4.51) 14.55 
G4RABanco de Chile 0.40 9 per month 2.34  0.06  4.94 (4.27) 10.60 

Other Forecasting Options for Pandora A/S

For every potential investor in Pandora, whether a beginner or expert, Pandora A/S's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pandora Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pandora. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pandora A/S's price trends.

Pandora A/S Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pandora A/S stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pandora A/S could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pandora A/S by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pandora A/S Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pandora A/S stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pandora A/S shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pandora A/S stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pandora AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pandora A/S Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pandora A/S's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pandora A/S's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pandora stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pandora A/S

The number of cover stories for Pandora A/S depends on current market conditions and Pandora A/S's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pandora A/S is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pandora A/S's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Pandora Stock

Pandora A/S financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pandora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pandora with respect to the benefits of owning Pandora A/S security.