International Game Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

7IG Stock  EUR 18.20  0.70  4.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of International Game Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 18.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.17. International Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of International Game's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for International Game Technology is based on a synthetically constructed International Gamedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

International Game 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of International Game Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 18.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict International Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that International Game's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

International Game Stock Forecast Pattern

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International Game Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting International Game's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. International Game's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.85 and 20.55, respectively. We have considered International Game's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.20
18.70
Expected Value
20.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of International Game stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent International Game stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.5555
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1939
MADMean absolute deviation0.5651
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0305
SAESum of the absolute errors23.17
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. International Game 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for International Game

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Game. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3518.2020.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6718.5220.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.8818.5420.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for International Game

For every potential investor in International, whether a beginner or expert, International Game's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. International Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in International. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying International Game's price trends.

International Game Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with International Game stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of International Game could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing International Game by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

International Game Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of International Game's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of International Game's current price.

International Game Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how International Game stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading International Game shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying International Game stock market strength indicators, traders can identify International Game Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

International Game Risk Indicators

The analysis of International Game's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in International Game's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting international stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in International Stock

When determining whether International Game is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if International Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about International Game Technology Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about International Game Technology Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of International Game to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Game's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Game is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Game's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.