Pampa Energía Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 9PAA Stock | EUR 67.00 1.50 2.19% |
Pampa Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Pampa Energía's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Pampa Energía's share price is at 52. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pampa Energía, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Wall Street Target Price 16.41 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.094 |
Using Pampa Energía hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pampa Energa SA from the perspective of Pampa Energía response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pampa Energa SA on the next trading day is expected to be 67.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.74. Pampa Energía after-hype prediction price | EUR 67.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pampa |
Pampa Energía Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pampa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pampa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pampa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pampa Energía Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pampa Energa SA on the next trading day is expected to be 67.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16, mean absolute percentage error of 2.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pampa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pampa Energía's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pampa Energía Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pampa Energía | Pampa Energía Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Pampa Energía Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pampa Energía's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pampa Energía's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 64.91 and 69.27, respectively. We have considered Pampa Energía's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pampa Energía stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pampa Energía stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1682 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1392 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1624 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 69.7425 |
Predictive Modules for Pampa Energía
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pampa Energa SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pampa Energía After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pampa Energía at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pampa Energía or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pampa Energía, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pampa Energía Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pampa Energía's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pampa Energía's historical news coverage. Pampa Energía's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.82 and 69.18, respectively. We have considered Pampa Energía's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pampa Energía is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pampa Energa SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pampa Energía Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pampa Energía is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pampa Energía backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pampa Energía, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.18 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
67.00 | 67.00 | 0.00 |
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Pampa Energía Hype Timeline
Pampa Energa SA is presently traded for 67.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Pampa is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pampa Energía is about 3079.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.01. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.93. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Pampa Energa SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.56. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.14. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pampa Energía to cross-verify your projections.Pampa Energía Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pampa Energía's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pampa Energía's future price movements. Getting to know how Pampa Energía's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pampa Energía may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SII | Wheaton Precious Metals | 5.50 | 6 per month | 2.25 | 0.20 | 4.09 | (3.88) | 15.45 | |
| 9TO | Toyota Tsusho Corp | (0.80) | 3 per month | 1.81 | 0.19 | 5.26 | (2.76) | 13.02 | |
| CU3 | Cohu Inc | 0.20 | 11 per month | 4.78 | 0.11 | 6.62 | (4.76) | 32.68 | |
| OSK | Japan Exchange Group | (0.55) | 5 per month | 1.75 | (0.01) | 4.02 | (3.12) | 10.59 | |
| UEO | WESTLAKE CHEMICAL | (1.50) | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.23 | 6.03 | (3.38) | 14.15 | |
| OCBA | OCBC | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.62 | 0.19 | 1.90 | (1.67) | 5.20 | |
| ML2 | Ming Le Sports | 0.01 | 1 per month | 70.87 | 0.21 | 1,900 | (95.00) | 26,000 | |
| C2H | Copa Holdings SA | 1.00 | 9 per month | 2.21 | 0.07 | 3.17 | (3.17) | 11.61 | |
| 9P4 | SMTPC EO 305 | (0.1) | 4 per month | 0.98 | (0.02) | 2.89 | (3.16) | 6.61 | |
| QDI | QUEST DIAGNOSTICS | (2.95) | 5 per month | 0.74 | 0 | 2.86 | (1.86) | 6.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pampa Energía
For every potential investor in Pampa, whether a beginner or expert, Pampa Energía's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pampa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pampa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pampa Energía's price trends.Pampa Energía Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pampa Energía stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pampa Energía could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pampa Energía by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pampa Energía Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pampa Energía stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pampa Energía shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pampa Energía stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pampa Energa SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 67.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 67.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.75) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.48 |
Pampa Energía Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pampa Energía's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pampa Energía's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pampa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Variance | 4.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pampa Energía
The number of cover stories for Pampa Energía depends on current market conditions and Pampa Energía's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pampa Energía is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pampa Energía's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Pampa Stock
Pampa Energía financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pampa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pampa with respect to the benefits of owning Pampa Energía security.