Måsøval AS Stock Forward View
| 9QP Stock | 2.10 0.02 0.96% |
Måsøval Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Måsøval AS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Måsøval AS's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.036 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
Using Måsøval AS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Msval AS from the perspective of Måsøval AS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Msval AS on the next trading day is expected to be 2.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.26. Måsøval AS after-hype prediction price | EUR 2.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Måsøval |
Måsøval AS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Måsøval price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Måsøval using various technical indicators. When you analyze Måsøval charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Måsøval AS Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Msval AS on the next trading day is expected to be 2.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Måsøval Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Måsøval AS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Måsøval AS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Måsøval AS | Måsøval AS Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Måsøval AS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Måsøval AS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Måsøval AS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.56, respectively. We have considered Måsøval AS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Måsøval AS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Måsøval AS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9331 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0365 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0181 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.263 |
Predictive Modules for Måsøval AS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Måsøval AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Måsøval AS After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Måsøval AS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Måsøval AS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Måsøval AS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Måsøval AS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Måsøval AS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Måsøval AS's historical news coverage. Måsøval AS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 4.47, respectively. We have considered Måsøval AS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Måsøval AS is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Måsøval AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Måsøval AS Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Måsøval AS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Måsøval AS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Måsøval AS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.38 | 0.01 | 25.42 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.10 | 2.09 | 0.48 |
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Måsøval AS Hype Timeline
Måsøval AS is presently traded for 2.10on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -25.42. Måsøval is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Måsøval AS is about 2.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -23.32. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Måsøval AS recorded a loss per share of 0.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Måsøval AS to cross-verify your projections.Måsøval AS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Måsøval AS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Måsøval AS's future price movements. Getting to know how Måsøval AS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Måsøval AS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PQ9 | PT Bank Mandiri | 0.04 | 1 per month | 5.73 | 0.05 | 17.39 | (14.29) | 40.26 | |
| PQ90 | BK MANDIRI ADR20 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.79 | 0.06 | 11.49 | (9.09) | 42.92 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 14.07 | 7 per month | 4.39 | (0.01) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 26.67 | |
| SSUN | Samsung Electronics Co | 54.00 | 8 per month | 2.29 | 0.23 | 6.04 | (4.93) | 14.94 | |
| SSU | Samsung Electronics Co | 10.00 | 2 per month | 2.20 | 0.25 | 7.66 | (4.89) | 15.03 | |
| SSUN | Samsung Electronics Co | (1,204) | 6 per month | 2.19 | 0.22 | 6.10 | (4.11) | 13.83 | |
| SSU | Samsung Electronics Co | (30.00) | 1 per month | 2.12 | 0.23 | 6.22 | (3.69) | 15.50 | |
| BZG2 | PT Bank Central | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.50 | (7.69) | 22.82 | |
| TCID | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | 0.00 | 1 per month | 5.37 | 0.01 | 12.50 | (15.00) | 35.42 | |
| PTI | Perusahaan Perseroan PT | 0.1 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.81 | (3.30) | 16.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Måsøval AS
For every potential investor in Måsøval, whether a beginner or expert, Måsøval AS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Måsøval Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Måsøval. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Måsøval AS's price trends.Måsøval AS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Måsøval AS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Måsøval AS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Måsøval AS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Måsøval AS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Måsøval AS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Måsøval AS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Måsøval AS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Msval AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Måsøval AS Risk Indicators
The analysis of Måsøval AS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Måsøval AS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting måsøval stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Variance | 5.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Måsøval AS
The number of cover stories for Måsøval AS depends on current market conditions and Måsøval AS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Måsøval AS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Måsøval AS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Måsøval Stock
Måsøval AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Måsøval Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Måsøval with respect to the benefits of owning Måsøval AS security.