Atlantic American Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

AAME Stock  USD 2.71  0.07  2.52%   
Atlantic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Atlantic American stock prices and determine the direction of Atlantic American's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Atlantic American's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Atlantic American's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atlantic American, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Atlantic American's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Atlantic American and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Atlantic American's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atlantic American, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Atlantic American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlantic American from the perspective of Atlantic American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Atlantic American on the next trading day is expected to be 2.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.52.

Atlantic American after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic American to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Atlantic Stock refer to our How to Trade Atlantic Stock guide.

Atlantic American Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Atlantic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlantic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlantic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Atlantic American price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Atlantic American Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Atlantic American on the next trading day is expected to be 2.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlantic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlantic American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Atlantic American Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Atlantic American  Atlantic American Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Atlantic American Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Atlantic American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlantic American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.33, respectively. We have considered Atlantic American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.71
2.80
Expected Value
8.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlantic American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlantic American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2076
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2053
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0763
SAESum of the absolute errors12.5211
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Atlantic American historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Atlantic American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlantic American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.788.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.337.86
Details

Atlantic American After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Atlantic American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlantic American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atlantic American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Atlantic American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Atlantic American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlantic American's historical news coverage. Atlantic American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 8.31, respectively. We have considered Atlantic American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.71
2.78
After-hype Price
8.31
Upside
Atlantic American is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlantic American is based on 3 months time horizon.

Atlantic American Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atlantic American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlantic American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlantic American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
5.53
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.71
2.78
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Atlantic American Hype Timeline

Atlantic American is presently traded for 2.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Atlantic is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Atlantic American is about 1728.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.71. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Atlantic American last dividend was issued on the 9th of April 2025. The entity had 5:4 split on the 4th of November 1986. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic American to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Atlantic Stock refer to our How to Trade Atlantic Stock guide.

Atlantic American Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Atlantic American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlantic American's future price movements. Getting to know how Atlantic American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlantic American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WDHWaterdrop ADR 0.74 12 per month 2.25 (0.02) 4.40 (3.70) 16.90 
BAYABayview Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.33  0.05  0.78 (1.01) 4.21 
CLSTCatalyst Bancorp 0.03 8 per month 0.65  0.17  1.90 (1.08) 7.82 
CASHMeta Financial Group 1.67 8 per month 1.03  0.14  3.43 (1.75) 7.62 
OAKUOak Woods Acquisition 0.00 0 per month 0.65 (0.06) 1.08 (0.82) 6.66 
BYFCBroadway Financial 0.30 7 per month 2.43  0.05  3.99 (3.68) 25.87 
CPBICentral Plains Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 1.12  0.06  1.68 (1.19) 6.35 
OFSOFS Capital Corp 0.05 6 per month 0.00 (0.16) 4.51 (5.92) 15.39 
FDSBFifth District Bancorp 0.09 8 per month 0.27  0.18  1.09 (1.05) 3.97 

Other Forecasting Options for Atlantic American

For every potential investor in Atlantic, whether a beginner or expert, Atlantic American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlantic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlantic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlantic American's price trends.

Atlantic American Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atlantic American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atlantic American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlantic American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Atlantic American Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlantic American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlantic American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlantic American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlantic American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Atlantic American Risk Indicators

The analysis of Atlantic American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlantic American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlantic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Atlantic American

The number of cover stories for Atlantic American depends on current market conditions and Atlantic American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlantic American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlantic American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Atlantic American Short Properties

Atlantic American's future price predictability will typically decrease when Atlantic American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atlantic American often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atlantic American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlantic American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments35.6 M
When determining whether Atlantic American is a strong investment it is important to analyze Atlantic American's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Atlantic American's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Atlantic Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlantic American to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Atlantic Stock refer to our How to Trade Atlantic Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Atlantic diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlantic American. If investors know Atlantic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Atlantic American data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Atlantic American's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Atlantic's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Atlantic American's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Atlantic American's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Atlantic American's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Atlantic American represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Atlantic American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.